Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.43
assuming max odds 2.92
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Guingamp (Local): 39.47%; Red Star (Visit): 33.14%; Draw: 27.39%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -1.39%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 08:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 08:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 08:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 08:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 08:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 08:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 08:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 08:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 08:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 08:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.80%EV -3.25%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.29%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.39%E -0.387%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-18 14:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -4.57%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 15:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -4.57%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -4.57%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-18 14:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 03:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -3.91%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -15.09%E -4.87%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.45%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.04%EV -6.23%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.67%EV -7.42%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -13.19%E -5.03%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.45%EV -6.84%E -2.90%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.01%EV -6.56%E -2.33%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.54%EV -7.42%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 14:33 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 15:02 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.43%EV -8.03%E -3.44%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.44%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-18 08:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.43%EV -8.03%E -3.44%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.44%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-18 08:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.43%EV -8.03%E -3.44%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.44%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-18 08:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -8.42%E -3.63%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -8.42%E -3.63%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.37%EV -8.81%E -3.82%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 14:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-18 14:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-18 14:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-18 14:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-18 08:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.85%E -4.89%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-18 03:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.85%E -4.89%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-18 03:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -13.19%E -5.03%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-18 03:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -13.19%E -5.03%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-18 03:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 39.71%EV -10.39%E -4.58%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.55%EV -8.22%E -2.97%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 39.41%EV -10.39%E -4.58%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.89%EV -9.87%E -3.63%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.70%EV -11.53%E -3.57%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-18 14:53 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.18%E -4.97%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -4.57%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -1.39%E -0.387%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 12:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -11.18%E -4.97%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -11.18%E -4.97%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.85%E -4.89%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.05%EV -11.97%E -5.37%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-18 14:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -15.13%E -7.04%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.10% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.24% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66% | 4.8% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.88% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.45% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.45% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.45% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |