Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Guingamp v Red Star

2026-09-19 12:00 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Guingamp (Local)

Prediction 41.02%2.44fair odd
EV -5.65%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -4.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.86%41.46%40.95%45.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.162.182.3051.02%46.22%45.87%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Red Star (Visit)

Prediction 30.75%3.25fair odd
EV +6.10%
Edge +1.77%
Kelly +2.49%
Growth +0.152%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.80%30.34%30.80%31.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.103.003.4535.71%32.29%33.33%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.22%3.54fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.348%
Kelly -0.487%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.61%28.20%28.25%29.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.073.263.273.5032.57%30.63%30.58%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Guingamp (Local): 41.02%; Red Star (Visit): 30.75%; Draw: 28.22%. For Red Star (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.25. 14 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.45, producing a positive expected value of +6.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -15.08%E -7.29%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +6.10%E +1.77%K +2.49%G +0.152%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 12:26
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -15.08%E -7.29%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +6.10%E +1.77%K +2.49%G +0.152%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 12:26
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -15.08%E -7.29%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +6.10%E +1.77%K +2.49%G +0.152%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 12:26
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -15.08%E -7.29%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +6.10%E +1.77%K +2.49%G +0.152%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 12:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -15.08%E -7.29%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +6.10%E +1.77%K +2.49%G +0.152%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 12:26
PMU (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -15.08%E -7.29%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +6.10%E +1.77%K +2.49%G +0.152%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 12:26
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -15.08%E -7.29%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +6.10%E +1.77%K +2.49%G +0.152%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 12:26
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -15.08%E -7.29%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +6.10%E +1.77%K +2.49%G +0.152%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 12:26
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -15.08%E -7.29%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +6.10%E +1.77%K +2.49%G +0.152%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 12:26
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -15.08%E -7.29%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV +6.10%E +1.77%K +2.49%G +0.152%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 12:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -17.96%E -8.98%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV +1.49%E +0.451%K +0.648%G +0.010%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 12:26
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -17.96%E -8.98%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV +1.49%E +0.451%K +0.648%G +0.010%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 12:26
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -17.96%E -8.98%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV +1.49%E +0.451%K +0.648%G +0.010%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-14 12:26
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.12%EV -19.60%E -10.00%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV +1.49%E +0.451%K +0.648%G +0.010%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.08%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-14 12:26
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.08%EV -10.98%E -5.06%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -0.048%E -0.015%K -0.021%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.16%EV -6.30%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 19:20
Suprabets🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.97%EV -15.49%E -7.52%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 28.19%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.84%EV -13.35%E -4.35%K -6.45%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-14 19:19
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -15.90%E -7.76%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.51%E -4.03%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-14 19:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -6.47%E -2.84%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -6.47%E -2.84%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 12:26
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -9.75%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.22%E -0.348%K -0.487%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 13:10
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.70%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 12:56
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.70%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 12:26
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.70%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 12:24
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.51%E -4.03%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.51%E -4.03%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.51%E -4.03%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 19:20
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.51%E -4.03%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 19:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.46%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.34%EV -8.66%E -2.92%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.70%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -9.27%E -3.14%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -1.22%E -0.348%K -0.487%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 12:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.70%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -9.27%E -3.14%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 12:50
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.70%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -9.27%E -3.14%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 12:56
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.70%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.27%E -3.14%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 19:15
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -10.57%E -4.85%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -9.27%E -3.14%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 12:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -7.70%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -9.27%E -3.14%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 12:26
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -11.80%E -5.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.27%E -3.14%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 12:43
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -13.85%E -6.60%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -9.27%E -3.14%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-14 12:26
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.01%EV -10.57%E -4.85%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.61%EV -10.20%E -3.49%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-14 12:24
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -11.80%E -5.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 12:50
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -11.80%E -5.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -10.81%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 12:59
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.75%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -11.43%E -3.97%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 12:30
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.75%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.43%E -3.97%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-14 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.75%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.43%E -3.97%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-14 12:56
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -9.75%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.73%E -4.09%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 12:56
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -9.75%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.73%E -4.09%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 12:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.66%EV -9.75%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -12.35%E -4.33%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.68%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-14 12:26
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -11.80%E -5.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -13.89%E -4.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-14 12:26
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -13.85%E -6.60%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -13.89%E -4.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -12.51%E -4.03%K -5.96%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-14 12:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 40.19%2.78I 35.97%NM 30.94%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.86%16.3%2026-09-14 12:25