La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Nuevo modeloTodos los modelos

Guingamp v Red Star

Inicio: 2026-09-19 12:00 UTC

Final: Guingamp 1–3 Red Star

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Guingamp (Local)

Predicción 39.47%2.53momio equitativo
EV -4.08%
Ventaja -1.68%
Kelly -2.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.34%39.42%39.50%41.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.342.332.4346.51%42.66%42.92%41.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Red Star (Visitante)

Predicción 33.14%3.02momio equitativo
EV -3.25%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.81%33.19%33.05%34.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.742.722.9238.46%36.51%36.76%34.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.39%3.65momio equitativo
EV -1.39%
Ventaja -0.387%
Kelly -0.536%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.97%27.39%27.45%29.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.363.383.6032.26%29.77%29.59%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Guingamp (Local): 39.47%; Red Star (Visitante): 33.14%; Empate: 27.39%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.65. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.60, con un valor esperado de -1.39%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:50
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:49
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:50
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:50
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:49
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.80%EV -3.25%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.29%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 15:10
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.39%E -0.387%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 14:30
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 14:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -4.57%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -4.57%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:05
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -4.57%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 14:29
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 03:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -3.91%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -15.09%E -4.87%K -7.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.45%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 14:35
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.04%EV -6.23%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.67%EV -7.42%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 15:10
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 15:00
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 15:00
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -13.19%E -5.03%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.45%EV -6.84%E -2.90%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.01%EV -6.56%E -2.33%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.54%EV -7.42%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:05
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 14:33
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 14:30
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:02
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.43%EV -8.03%E -3.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.44%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 08:49
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.43%EV -8.03%E -3.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.44%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 08:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.43%EV -8.03%E -3.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.44%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 08:49
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -8.42%E -3.63%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 14:35
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -8.42%E -3.63%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 39.37%EV -8.81%E -3.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 14:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 14:35
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 14:39
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 14:35
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 14:30
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 14:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 14:30
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 14:29
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 14:29
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-18 08:49
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.85%E -4.89%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-18 03:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.85%E -4.89%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-18 03:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -13.19%E -5.03%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 03:50
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -13.19%E -5.03%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 03:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.71%EV -10.39%E -4.58%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.55%EV -8.22%E -2.97%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 14:55
Suprabets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.41%EV -10.39%E -4.58%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.89%EV -9.87%E -3.63%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.70%EV -11.53%E -3.57%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 14:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.18%E -4.97%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -4.57%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -1.39%E -0.387%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 12:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -11.18%E -4.97%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-18 15:15
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -11.18%E -4.97%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.85%E -4.89%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-18 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.05%EV -11.97%E -5.37%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 14:34
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -15.13%E -7.04%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-18 14:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 40.10%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.24%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%4.8%2026-09-18 15:05
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.88%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%6.2%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.45%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%7.4%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.45%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%7.4%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.45%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%7.4%2026-09-18 15:20