L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Guingamp v Red Star

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 12:00 UTC

Score final : Guingamp 1–3 Red Star

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Guingamp (Local)

Prévision 39.47%2.53cote équitable
EV -4.08%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -2.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.34%39.42%39.50%41.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.342.332.4346.51%42.66%42.92%41.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Red Star (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.14%3.02cote équitable
EV -3.25%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -1.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.81%33.19%33.05%34.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.742.722.9238.46%36.51%36.76%34.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.39%3.65cote équitable
EV -1.39%
Avantage -0.387%
Kelly -0.536%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.97%27.39%27.45%29.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.363.383.6032.26%29.77%29.59%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Guingamp (Local) : 39.47% ; Red Star (Visiteur) : 33.14% ; Match nul : 27.39%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.65. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.60, pour une espérance de -1.39% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:50
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:49
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:50
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:50
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:49
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.80%EV -3.25%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.29%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 15:10
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.39%E -0.387%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 14:30
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 14:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -4.57%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -4.57%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:05
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -4.57%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 14:29
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 03:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -3.91%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -15.09%E -4.87%K -7.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.45%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 14:35
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.04%EV -6.23%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.67%EV -7.42%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 15:10
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 15:00
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 15:00
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -13.19%E -5.03%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.45%EV -6.84%E -2.90%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.01%EV -6.56%E -2.33%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.54%EV -7.42%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:05
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 14:33
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 14:30
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:02
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.43%EV -8.03%E -3.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.44%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 08:49
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.43%EV -8.03%E -3.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.44%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 08:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.43%EV -8.03%E -3.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.44%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 08:49
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -8.42%E -3.63%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 14:35
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -8.42%E -3.63%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 39.37%EV -8.81%E -3.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 14:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 14:35
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 14:39
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 14:35
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 14:30
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 14:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 14:30
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 14:29
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 14:29
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-18 08:49
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.85%E -4.89%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-18 03:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.85%E -4.89%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-18 03:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -13.19%E -5.03%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 03:50
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -13.19%E -5.03%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 03:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.71%EV -10.39%E -4.58%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.55%EV -8.22%E -2.97%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 14:55
Suprabets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.41%EV -10.39%E -4.58%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.89%EV -9.87%E -3.63%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.70%EV -11.53%E -3.57%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 14:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.18%E -4.97%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -4.57%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -1.39%E -0.387%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 12:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -11.18%E -4.97%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-18 15:15
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -11.18%E -4.97%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.85%E -4.89%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-18 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.05%EV -11.97%E -5.37%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 14:34
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -15.13%E -7.04%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-18 14:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 40.10%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.24%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%4.8%2026-09-18 15:05
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.88%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%6.2%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.45%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%7.4%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.45%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%7.4%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.45%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%7.4%2026-09-18 15:20