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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Guingamp v Red Star

Início: 2026-09-19 12:00 UTC

Final: Guingamp 1–3 Red Star

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Guingamp (Local)

Previsão 39.47%2.53odd justa
EV -4.08%
Vantagem -1.68%
Kelly -2.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.34%39.42%39.50%41.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.342.332.4346.51%42.66%42.92%41.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Red Star (Visitante)

Previsão 33.14%3.02odd justa
EV -3.25%
Vantagem -1.11%
Kelly -1.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.81%33.19%33.05%34.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.742.722.9238.46%36.51%36.76%34.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.39%3.65odd justa
EV -1.39%
Vantagem -0.387%
Kelly -0.536%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.97%27.39%27.45%29.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.363.383.6032.26%29.77%29.59%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Guingamp (Local): 39.47%; Red Star (Visitante): 33.14%; Empate: 27.39%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.65. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.60, com valor esperado de -1.39%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:50
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:49
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:50
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:50
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.08%E -1.68%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 08:49
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.80%EV -3.25%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.29%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 15:10
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.39%E -0.387%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 14:30
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 14:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -4.57%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -4.57%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:05
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.68%EV -4.57%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 14:29
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 03:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -3.91%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -15.09%E -4.87%K -7.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.45%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 14:35
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.04%EV -6.23%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.67%EV -7.42%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 15:10
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 15:00
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 15:00
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -13.19%E -5.03%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.45%EV -6.84%E -2.90%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.01%EV -6.56%E -2.33%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.54%EV -7.42%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:05
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 14:33
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 14:30
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -7.24%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:02
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.43%EV -8.03%E -3.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.44%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 08:49
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.43%EV -8.03%E -3.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.44%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 08:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.43%EV -8.03%E -3.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.44%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 08:49
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -8.42%E -3.63%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 14:35
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.50%EV -8.42%E -3.63%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 39.37%EV -8.81%E -3.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 14:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 14:35
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -5.56%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 14:39
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 14:35
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 14:30
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 14:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 14:30
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 14:29
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 14:29
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-18 08:49
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.85%E -4.89%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-18 03:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.85%E -4.89%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-18 03:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -13.19%E -5.03%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 03:50
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -13.19%E -5.03%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.35%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 03:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.71%EV -10.39%E -4.58%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.55%EV -8.22%E -2.97%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 14:55
Suprabets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.41%EV -10.39%E -4.58%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.89%EV -9.87%E -3.63%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.70%EV -11.53%E -3.57%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 14:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.18%E -4.97%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -4.57%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -1.39%E -0.387%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 12:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -11.18%E -4.97%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-18 15:15
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -11.18%E -4.97%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.85%E -4.89%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-18 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.05%EV -11.97%E -5.37%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 14:34
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -15.13%E -7.04%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -10.53%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-18 14:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 40.10%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.24%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%4.8%2026-09-18 15:05
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.88%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%6.2%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.45%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%7.4%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.45%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%7.4%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 39.45%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%7.4%2026-09-18 15:20