StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Guingamp v Boulogne

Matchstart: 2026-08-14 18:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Guingamp 1–0 Boulogne

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Guingamp (Hemma)

Prognos 51.36%1.95rättvist odds
EV -3.96%
Fördel -2.12%
Kelly -4.55%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.87

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
49.69%51.41%51.41%53.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.681.781.781.8759.52%56.04%56.18%53.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Boulogne (Borta)

Prognos 20.99%4.76rättvist odds
EV +0.764%
Fördel +0.159%
Kelly +0.201%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.36%20.88%21.02%22.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.004.384.404.8025.00%22.83%22.73%20.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.65%3.62rättvist odds
EV -1.84%
Fördel -0.518%
Kelly -0.722%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.07%27.71%27.57%28.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.353.353.5532.26%29.85%29.85%28.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Guingamp (Hemma): 51.36%; Boulogne (Borta): 20.99%; Oavgjort: 27.65%. För Boulogne (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.76. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.80, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.764%.

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -9.10%E -5.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV +0.764%E +0.159%K +0.201%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 18:30
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -0.286%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 18:40
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.52%EV -9.61%E -5.46%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -0.286%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 18:34
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.86%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.41%EV -1.34%E -0.284%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV -4.33%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -1.34%E -0.284%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -9.10%E -5.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -3.43%E -0.747%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.40%EV -11.15%E -6.45%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -3.43%E -0.747%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.62%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 18:34
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 18:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 18:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 18:29
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 18:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 18:29
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.60%EV -9.10%E -5.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 18:39
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -11.15%E -6.45%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-14 18:34
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.04%EV -3.96%E -2.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 18:29
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 18:29
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:09
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:10
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:09
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:09
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:08
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -8.58%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -8.58%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 18:29
Suprabets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.59%EV -9.61%E -5.46%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.77%EV -9.58%E -2.93%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 18:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 18:40
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -9.10%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 18:30
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.87%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -9.10%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 18:29
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.87%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -9.10%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.87%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -9.10%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.87%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -9.10%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 18:25
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.08%EV -11.15%E -6.45%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -9.10%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -14.28%E -4.61%K -6.80%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-14 18:34
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -3.96%E -2.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -9.73%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 17:14
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.20%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -9.73%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 18:30
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.20%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -9.73%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 18:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.48%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -9.73%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -10.78%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 18:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -10.78%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 18:29
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.63%EV -12.69%E -7.47%K -18.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.05%EV -10.78%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 06:09
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.83%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 18:29
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -9.10%E -5.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -11.83%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.83%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 18:29
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.43%EV -11.15%E -6.45%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -11.83%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-14 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.80%EV -13.72%E -8.17%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -11.83%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-14 06:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.80%EV -13.72%E -8.17%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -11.83%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-14 06:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.80%EV -13.72%E -8.17%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -11.83%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-14 06:10
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -16.03%E -4.01%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -16.03%E -4.01%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 18:29
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -16.03%E -4.01%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -16.03%E -4.01%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 18:29
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-08-14 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-08-14 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-08-14 18:35
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-08-14 18:40
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.08%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%1.8%2026-08-14 18:40