Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Guingamp v Boulogne

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-14 18:45 UTC

Score final : Guingamp 1–0 Boulogne

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Guingamp (Local)

Prévision 51.36%1.95cote équitable
EV -3.96%
Avantage -2.12%
Kelly -4.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.69%51.41%51.41%53.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.681.781.781.8759.52%56.04%56.18%53.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Boulogne (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.99%4.76cote équitable
EV +0.764%
Avantage +0.159%
Kelly +0.201%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.36%20.88%21.02%22.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.384.404.8025.00%22.83%22.73%20.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.65%3.62cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -0.518%
Kelly -0.722%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.07%27.71%27.57%28.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.353.353.5532.26%29.85%29.85%28.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Guingamp (Local) : 51.36% ; Boulogne (Visiteur) : 20.99% ; Match nul : 27.65%. Pour Boulogne (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.76. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.80, soit une espérance positive de +0.764%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -9.10%E -5.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV +0.764%E +0.159%K +0.201%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 18:30
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -0.286%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 18:40
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.52%EV -9.61%E -5.46%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -0.286%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 18:34
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.86%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.41%EV -1.34%E -0.284%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV -4.33%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -1.34%E -0.284%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -9.10%E -5.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -3.43%E -0.747%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.40%EV -11.15%E -6.45%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -3.43%E -0.747%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.62%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 18:34
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 18:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 18:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 18:29
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 18:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 18:29
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.60%EV -9.10%E -5.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 18:39
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -11.15%E -6.45%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-14 18:34
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.04%EV -3.96%E -2.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 18:29
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 18:29
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:09
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:10
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:09
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:09
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:08
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -8.58%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -8.58%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 18:29
Suprabets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.59%EV -9.61%E -5.46%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.77%EV -9.58%E -2.93%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 18:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 18:40
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -9.10%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 18:30
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.87%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -9.10%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 18:29
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.87%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -9.10%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.87%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -9.10%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.87%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -9.10%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 18:25
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.08%EV -11.15%E -6.45%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -9.10%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -14.28%E -4.61%K -6.80%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-14 18:34
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -3.96%E -2.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -9.73%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 17:14
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.20%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -9.73%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 18:30
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.20%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -9.73%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 18:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.48%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -9.73%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -10.78%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 18:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -10.78%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 18:29
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.63%EV -12.69%E -7.47%K -18.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.05%EV -10.78%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 06:09
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.83%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 18:29
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -9.10%E -5.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -11.83%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.83%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 18:29
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.43%EV -11.15%E -6.45%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -11.83%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-14 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.80%EV -13.72%E -8.17%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -11.83%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-14 06:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.80%EV -13.72%E -8.17%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -11.83%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-14 06:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.80%EV -13.72%E -8.17%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -11.83%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-14 06:10
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -16.03%E -4.01%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -16.03%E -4.01%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 18:29
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -16.03%E -4.01%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -16.03%E -4.01%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 18:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-08-14 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-08-14 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-08-14 18:35
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-08-14 18:40
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.08%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%1.8%2026-08-14 18:40