Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Guingamp v Boulogne

Início: 2026-08-14 18:45 UTC

Final: Guingamp 1–0 Boulogne

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Guingamp (Local)

Previsão 51.36%1.95odd justa
EV -3.96%
Vantagem -2.12%
Kelly -4.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.69%51.41%51.41%53.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.681.781.781.8759.52%56.04%56.18%53.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boulogne (Visitante)

Previsão 20.99%4.76odd justa
EV +0.764%
Vantagem +0.159%
Kelly +0.201%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.36%20.88%21.02%22.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.384.404.8025.00%22.83%22.73%20.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.65%3.62odd justa
EV -1.84%
Vantagem -0.518%
Kelly -0.722%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.07%27.71%27.57%28.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.353.353.5532.26%29.85%29.85%28.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Guingamp (Local): 51.36%; Boulogne (Visitante): 20.99%; Empate: 27.65%. Para Boulogne (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.76. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.764%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -9.10%E -5.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV +0.764%E +0.159%K +0.201%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 18:30
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -0.286%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 18:40
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.52%EV -9.61%E -5.46%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -0.286%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 18:34
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.86%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.41%EV -1.34%E -0.284%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV -4.33%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -1.34%E -0.284%K -0.361%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -9.10%E -5.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -3.43%E -0.747%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.40%EV -11.15%E -6.45%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -3.43%E -0.747%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.62%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 18:34
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 18:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 18:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 18:29
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 18:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 18:29
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.60%EV -9.10%E -5.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 18:39
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -11.15%E -6.45%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -5.53%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-14 18:34
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.04%EV -3.96%E -2.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 18:29
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 18:29
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:09
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:10
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:09
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:09
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:08
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -8.58%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -8.58%E -4.82%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 18:29
Suprabets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.59%EV -9.61%E -5.46%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.77%EV -9.58%E -2.93%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 18:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -10.13%E -5.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -7.63%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 18:40
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -9.10%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 18:30
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.87%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -9.10%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 18:29
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.87%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -9.10%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.87%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -9.10%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.87%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -9.10%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.83%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 18:25
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.08%EV -11.15%E -6.45%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -9.10%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -14.28%E -4.61%K -6.80%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-14 18:34
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -3.96%E -2.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -9.73%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 17:14
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.20%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -9.73%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 18:30
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.20%EV -6.53%E -3.59%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -9.73%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 18:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.48%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -9.73%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -4.99%E -2.70%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -10.78%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 18:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -10.78%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 18:29
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.63%EV -12.69%E -7.47%K -18.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.05%EV -10.78%E -2.54%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 06:09
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -6.02%E -3.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.83%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 18:29
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -9.10%E -5.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -11.83%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.83%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 18:29
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.43%EV -11.15%E -6.45%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -11.83%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -10.14%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-14 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.80%EV -13.72%E -8.17%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -11.83%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-14 06:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.80%EV -13.72%E -8.17%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -11.83%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-14 06:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.80%EV -13.72%E -8.17%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -11.83%E -2.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-14 06:10
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -16.03%E -4.01%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -16.03%E -4.01%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 18:29
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -16.03%E -4.01%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -7.56%E -4.20%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -16.03%E -4.01%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.52%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 18:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-08-14 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-08-14 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-08-14 18:35
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-08-14 18:40
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.08%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.26%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%1.8%2026-08-14 18:40