La scuola delle quote

Amiens v Red Star

Inizio: 2026-05-02 18:00 UTC

Finale: Amiens 1–3 Red Star

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Amiens (Casa)

Previsione 22.02%4.54quota equa
EV -2.44%
Vantaggio -0.552%
Kelly -0.713%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.93%22.11%21.93%23.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.174.204.4326.32%23.98%23.81%22.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Red Star (Trasferta)

Previsione 53.49%1.87quota equa
EV -3.72%
Vantaggio -2.07%
Kelly -4.65%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.73%53.41%53.48%54.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.721.711.8059.88%58.28%58.48%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.49%4.08quota equa
EV -2.04%
Vantaggio -0.510%
Kelly -0.680%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.36%24.49%24.59%26.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.743.754.0030.77%26.71%26.67%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle4.43I 22.57%NM 21.66%EV -2.44%E -0.552%K -0.713%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.61%EV -4.26%E -2.38%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.73%EV -4.98%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 17:50
Coolbet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -3.11%E -0.706%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.04%E -0.510%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Bet Victor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -3.11%E -0.706%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -7.47%E -4.32%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 17:50
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -3.11%E -0.706%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 17:55
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -3.11%E -0.706%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Bovada4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -4.21%E -0.967%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.23%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:54
Marathon Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -4.65%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.54%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 17:50
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -5.31%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -5.33%E -3.01%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:50
LowVig.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -5.31%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -5.86%E -3.33%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:50
BetOnline.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -5.31%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -5.86%E -3.33%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:55
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.31%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.55%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 17:55
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -6.41%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -6.93%E -3.98%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 17:55
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 17:50
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
Unibet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
Casumo4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
Unibet (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
BetRivers4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:30
Unibet (NL)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
betPARX4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
ATG (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
Svenska Spel4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:50
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:50
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:50
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:50
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.00%E -4.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 17:50
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -10.14%E -6.04%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:20
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -10.14%E -6.04%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:20
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -10.14%E -6.04%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:20
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -10.61%E -2.91%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:49
Suprabets4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.39%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.00%EV -11.10%E -3.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 17:52
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 17:55
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -9.71%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 17:55
NetBet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -9.71%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 17:50
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.71%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -8.00%E -4.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 17:50
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -9.71%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.91%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.14%EV -8.65%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 17:50
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 22.68%EV -10.81%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:50
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 22.68%EV -10.81%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:50
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -6.93%E -3.98%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.62%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.78%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.61%EV -20.41%E -6.28%K -9.07%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Codere (IT)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%EV -13.01%E -3.29%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.84%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 17:55
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -15.22%E -3.95%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.97%EV -8.00%E -4.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 17:50
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -15.22%E -3.95%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.97%EV -8.00%E -4.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 17:50
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -16.32%E -4.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -14.28%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-02 17:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-02 17:50
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.87%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82%2.0%2026-05-02 17:55