مدرسة الاحتمالات

Amiens v Red Star

البداية: 2026-05-02 18:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Amiens 1–3 Red Star

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Amiens (المضيف)

التنبؤ 22.02%4.54السعر العادل
EV -2.44%
الأفضلية -0.552%
Kelly -0.713%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.93%22.11%21.93%23.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.804.174.204.4326.32%23.98%23.81%22.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Red Star (الضيف)

التنبؤ 53.49%1.87السعر العادل
EV -3.72%
الأفضلية -2.07%
Kelly -4.65%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.73%53.41%53.48%54.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.721.711.8059.88%58.28%58.48%55.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.49%4.08السعر العادل
EV -2.04%
الأفضلية -0.510%
Kelly -0.680%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.36%24.49%24.59%26.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.743.754.0030.77%26.71%26.67%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle4.43I 22.57%NM 21.66%EV -2.44%E -0.552%K -0.713%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.61%EV -4.26%E -2.38%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.73%EV -4.98%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 17:50
Coolbet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -3.11%E -0.706%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.04%E -0.510%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Bet Victor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -3.11%E -0.706%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -7.47%E -4.32%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 17:50
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -3.11%E -0.706%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 17:55
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -3.11%E -0.706%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Bovada4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -4.21%E -0.967%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.23%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:54
Marathon Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -4.65%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.54%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 17:50
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -5.31%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -5.33%E -3.01%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:50
LowVig.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -5.31%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -5.86%E -3.33%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:50
BetOnline.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -5.31%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -5.86%E -3.33%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:55
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.31%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.55%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 17:55
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -6.41%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -6.93%E -3.98%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 17:55
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 17:50
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
Unibet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
Casumo4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
Unibet (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
BetRivers4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:30
Unibet (NL)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
betPARX4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
ATG (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
Svenska Spel4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:50
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:50
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:50
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:50
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.00%E -4.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 17:50
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -10.14%E -6.04%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:20
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -10.14%E -6.04%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:20
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -10.14%E -6.04%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:20
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -10.61%E -2.91%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:49
Suprabets4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.39%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.00%EV -11.10%E -3.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 17:52
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 17:55
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -9.71%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 17:55
NetBet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -9.71%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 17:50
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.71%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -8.00%E -4.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 17:50
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -9.71%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.91%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.14%EV -8.65%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 17:50
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 22.68%EV -10.81%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:50
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 22.68%EV -10.81%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:50
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -6.93%E -3.98%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.62%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.78%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.61%EV -20.41%E -6.28%K -9.07%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Codere (IT)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%EV -13.01%E -3.29%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.84%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 17:55
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -15.22%E -3.95%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.97%EV -8.00%E -4.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 17:50
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -15.22%E -3.95%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.97%EV -8.00%E -4.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 17:50
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -16.32%E -4.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -14.28%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-02 17:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-02 17:50
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.87%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82%2.0%2026-05-02 17:55