La escuela de los momios

Amiens v Red Star

Inicio: 2026-05-02 18:00 UTC

Final: Amiens 1–3 Red Star

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Amiens (Local)

Predicción 22.02%4.54momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -0.552%
Kelly -0.713%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.93%22.11%21.93%23.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.174.204.4326.32%23.98%23.81%22.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Red Star (Visitante)

Predicción 53.49%1.87momio equitativo
EV -3.72%
Ventaja -2.07%
Kelly -4.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.73%53.41%53.48%54.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.721.711.8059.88%58.28%58.48%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.49%4.08momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -0.510%
Kelly -0.680%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.36%24.49%24.59%26.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.743.754.0030.77%26.71%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle4.43I 22.57%NM 21.66%EV -2.44%E -0.552%K -0.713%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.61%EV -4.26%E -2.38%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.73%EV -4.98%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 17:50
Coolbet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -3.11%E -0.706%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.04%E -0.510%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Bet Victor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -3.11%E -0.706%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -7.47%E -4.32%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 17:50
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -3.11%E -0.706%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 17:55
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -3.11%E -0.706%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Bovada4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -4.21%E -0.967%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.23%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:54
Marathon Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -4.65%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.54%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 17:50
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -5.31%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -5.33%E -3.01%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:50
LowVig.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -5.31%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -5.86%E -3.33%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:50
BetOnline.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -5.31%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -5.86%E -3.33%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:55
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.31%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.55%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 17:55
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -6.41%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -6.93%E -3.98%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 17:55
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 17:50
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
Unibet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
Casumo4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
Unibet (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
BetRivers4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:30
Unibet (NL)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
betPARX4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
ATG (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
Svenska Spel4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:50
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:50
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:50
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:50
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.00%E -4.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 17:50
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -10.14%E -6.04%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:20
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -10.14%E -6.04%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:20
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -10.14%E -6.04%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:20
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -10.61%E -2.91%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:49
Suprabets4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.39%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.00%EV -11.10%E -3.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 17:52
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 17:55
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -9.71%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 17:55
NetBet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -9.71%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 17:50
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.71%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -8.00%E -4.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 17:50
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -9.71%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.91%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.14%EV -8.65%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 17:50
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 22.68%EV -10.81%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:50
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 22.68%EV -10.81%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:50
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -6.93%E -3.98%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.62%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.78%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.61%EV -20.41%E -6.28%K -9.07%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Codere (IT)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%EV -13.01%E -3.29%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.84%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 17:55
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -15.22%E -3.95%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.97%EV -8.00%E -4.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 17:50
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -15.22%E -3.95%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.97%EV -8.00%E -4.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 17:50
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -16.32%E -4.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -14.28%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-02 17:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-02 17:50
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.87%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82%2.0%2026-05-02 17:55