L’École des cotes

Amiens v Red Star

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 18:00 UTC

Score final : Amiens 1–3 Red Star

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Amiens (Local)

Prévision 22.02%4.54cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -0.552%
Kelly -0.713%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.93%22.11%21.93%23.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.174.204.4326.32%23.98%23.81%22.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Red Star (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.49%1.87cote équitable
EV -3.72%
Avantage -2.07%
Kelly -4.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.73%53.41%53.48%54.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.721.711.8059.88%58.28%58.48%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.49%4.08cote équitable
EV -2.04%
Avantage -0.510%
Kelly -0.680%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.36%24.49%24.59%26.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.743.754.0030.77%26.71%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.43I 22.57%NM 21.66%EV -2.44%E -0.552%K -0.713%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.61%EV -4.26%E -2.38%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.73%EV -4.98%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 17:50
Coolbet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -3.11%E -0.706%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.04%E -0.510%K -0.680%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Bet Victor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -3.11%E -0.706%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -7.47%E -4.32%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 17:50
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -3.11%E -0.706%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 17:55
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -3.11%E -0.706%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Bovada4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -4.21%E -0.967%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.23%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:54
Marathon Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -4.65%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.54%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 17:50
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -5.31%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -5.33%E -3.01%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:50
LowVig.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -5.31%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -5.86%E -3.33%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:50
BetOnline.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -5.31%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -5.86%E -3.33%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:55
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.31%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.55%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 17:55
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -6.41%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -6.93%E -3.98%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -3.72%E -2.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 17:55
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 17:50
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
Unibet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
Casumo4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
Unibet (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
BetRivers4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:30
Unibet (NL)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
betPARX4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
ATG (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
Svenska Spel4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 17:20
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:50
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:50
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:50
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:50
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.00%E -4.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 17:50
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -10.14%E -6.04%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:20
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -10.14%E -6.04%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:20
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -10.14%E -6.04%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:20
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -10.61%E -2.91%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:49
Suprabets4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.39%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.00%EV -11.10%E -3.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 17:52
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -7.51%E -1.79%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 17:55
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -9.71%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -8.54%E -4.99%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -6.94%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 17:55
NetBet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -9.71%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.53%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -8.16%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 17:50
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.71%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -8.00%E -4.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 17:50
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -9.71%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.91%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.14%EV -8.65%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 17:50
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 22.68%EV -10.81%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:50
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 22.68%EV -10.81%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:50
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -6.93%E -3.98%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.39%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.62%EV -11.91%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.78%EV -10.67%E -6.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.61%EV -20.41%E -6.28%K -9.07%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Codere (IT)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%EV -13.01%E -3.29%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.84%EV -6.40%E -3.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 17:55
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -15.22%E -3.95%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.97%EV -8.00%E -4.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 17:50
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -15.22%E -3.95%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.97%EV -8.00%E -4.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.49%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 17:50
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -16.32%E -4.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -9.07%E -5.34%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -14.28%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-02 17:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-02 17:50
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.31%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.87%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82%2.0%2026-05-02 17:55