The School of Odds

Le Havre v AS Monaco

2026-08-23 15:15 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Le Havre (Local)

Prediction 27.58%3.63fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.351%
Kelly -0.487%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%27.58%27.56%28.56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.953.353.403.5834%30%29%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

AS Monaco (Visit)

Prediction 47.36%2.11fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.81%47.37%47.08%48.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.821.972.002.0555%51%50%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 25.06%3.99fair odd
EV +0.500%
Edge +0.125%
Kelly +0.166%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.16%25.05%25.36%26.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.353.643.604.0130%27%28%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet3.58I 27.93%NM 27.48%EV -1.26%E -0.351%K -0.487%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.99%EV -2.92%E -1.42%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.53%EV +0.500%E +0.125%K +0.166%G +0.001%1.7%2026-07-09 17:15
Marathon Bet3.52I 28.41%NM 27.52%EV -2.91%E -0.827%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.96%EV -4.34%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.52%EV -1.00%E -0.254%K -0.340%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-09 17:15
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -4.84%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.19%EV -6.24%E -3.15%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -1.00%E -0.254%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:15
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -4.84%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.19%EV -6.24%E -3.15%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -1.00%E -0.254%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:15
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.76%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 17:14
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.84%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.08%EV -4.34%E -2.15%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -6.02%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 17:14
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-09 17:14
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.94%EV -8.13%E -4.19%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-09 17:14
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.29%E -2.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.29%E -2.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.29%E -2.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.29%E -2.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:15
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.29%E -2.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.29%E -2.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.29%E -2.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.29%E -2.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.29%E -2.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:15
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.29%E -2.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.29%E -2.64%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 19:59
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.78%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-09 17:14
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.20%EV -11.45%E -6.12%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -12.28%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-09 17:14
Betclic (FR)3.17I 31.55%NM 27.67%EV -12.57%E -3.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.91%EV -11.45%E -6.12%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.42%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-09 17:14
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.79%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-09 17:14
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.74%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.66%E -3.93%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.79%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-09 17:14
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 28.56%EV -18.63%E -6.32%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 46.29%EV -13.81%E -7.59%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.15%EV -16.04%E -4.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%18.7%2026-07-09 17:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.