L’École des cotes

Le Havre v AS Monaco

2026-08-23 15:15 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Le Havre (Local)

Prévision 28.01%3.57cote équitable
EV +2.24%
Avantage +0.614%
Kelly +0.846%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.93%28.01%28.06%29.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.353.403.6532.26%29.88%29.41%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AS Monaco (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.27%2.12cote équitable
EV -3.09%
Avantage -1.51%
Kelly -2.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.81%47.25%47.31%48.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.881.982.002.0553.19%50.55%50.13%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.72%4.05cote équitable
EV -0.141%
Avantage -0.035%
Kelly -0.046%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.95%24.74%24.64%26.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.723.704.0429.41%26.90%27.03%24.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%EV +2.24%E +0.614%K +0.846%G +0.019%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.70%EV -4.51%E -2.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 24.35%EV -0.141%E -0.035%K -0.046%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-14 12:59
Marathon Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93%EV +0.841%E +0.234%K +0.323%G +0.003%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -5.93%E -2.98%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.36%EV -1.62%E -0.408%K -0.545%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-14 12:59
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -1.96%E -0.560%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03%EV -4.51%E -2.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%EV -1.13%E -0.282%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-18 20:25
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -3.09%E -1.51%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 08:25
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.97%EV -6.88%E -3.49%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -3.60%E -0.923%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 20:25
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:24
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.60%E -0.923%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 14:39
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.60%E -0.923%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 14:40
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.60%E -0.923%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 20:25
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.60%E -0.923%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 20:25
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 03:52
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -7.35%E -3.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -7.35%E -3.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 14:39
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 17:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 14:40
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:15
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:15
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 19:59
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 22:49
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 12:55
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30%EV -4.51%E -2.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.37%E -0.599%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 20:49
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30%EV -4.51%E -2.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.37%E -0.599%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 20:49
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -3.09%E -1.51%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 19:25
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 20:25
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.71%E -5.08%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 20:24
Pinnacle3.27I 30.58%NM 28.75%EV -8.40%E -2.57%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.23%EV -4.10%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 09:17
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -6.40%E -3.23%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 06:35
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.43%EV -6.40%E -3.23%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 06:30
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -15.96%E -4.69%K -6.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-09 17:14
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -15.96%E -4.69%K -6.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-09 17:14
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.76%E -3.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.47%EV -7.35%E -3.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-17 08:20
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.76%E -3.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.57%EV -8.29%E -4.28%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%EV -9.78%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 06:35
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -11.76%E -3.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-17 20:49
Betclic (FR)3.13I 31.95%NM 28.02%EV -12.32%E -3.94%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.41%EV -10.66%E -5.64%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.57%EV -15.22%E -4.44%K -6.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-17 08:20
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-16 19:20
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.31%EV -11.13%E -5.92%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -15.96%E -4.69%K -6.65%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-17 08:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.59%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%11.2%2026-07-18 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19%186.7%2026-07-18 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19%186.7%2026-07-18 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19%186.7%2026-07-18 20:25