Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Le Havre v AS Monaco

Inizio: 2026-08-23 15:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

44 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Le Havre (Casa)

Previsione 28.01%3.57quota equa
EV +2.24%
Vantaggio +0.614%
Kelly +0.846%
Crescita +0.019%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.93%28.01%28.06%29.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.353.403.6532.26%29.88%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

AS Monaco (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.27%2.12quota equa
EV -3.09%
Vantaggio -1.51%
Kelly -2.95%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.81%47.25%47.31%48.71%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.881.982.002.0553.19%50.55%50.13%48.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.72%4.05quota equa
EV -0.141%
Vantaggio -0.035%
Kelly -0.046%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.95%24.74%24.64%26.27%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.723.704.0429.41%26.90%27.03%24.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Le Havre (Casa): 28.01%; AS Monaco (Trasferta): 47.27%; Pareggio: 24.72%. Per Le Havre (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.57. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.65, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.24%.

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%EV +2.24%E +0.614%K +0.846%G +0.019%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.70%EV -4.51%E -2.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 24.35%EV -0.141%E -0.035%K -0.046%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-14 12:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93%EV +0.841%E +0.234%K +0.323%G +0.003%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -5.93%E -2.98%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.36%EV -1.62%E -0.408%K -0.545%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-14 12:59
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -1.96%E -0.560%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03%EV -4.51%E -2.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%EV -1.13%E -0.282%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-18 20:25
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -3.09%E -1.51%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 08:25
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.97%EV -6.88%E -3.49%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -3.60%E -0.923%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 20:25
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:24
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.60%E -0.923%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 14:39
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.60%E -0.923%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.60%E -0.923%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 20:25
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.60%E -0.923%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 20:25
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 03:52
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -7.35%E -3.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -7.35%E -3.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 14:39
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 17:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 14:40
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:15
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
TABtouch🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
Bally Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:15
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 19:59
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 22:49
PMU (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 12:55
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30%EV -4.51%E -2.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.37%E -0.599%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 20:49
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30%EV -4.51%E -2.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.37%E -0.599%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 20:49
TAB🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -3.09%E -1.51%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 19:25
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 20:25
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.71%E -5.08%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 20:24
Pinnacle🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 28.75%EV -8.40%E -2.57%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.23%EV -4.10%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 09:17
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -6.40%E -3.23%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 06:35
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.43%EV -6.40%E -3.23%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 06:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -15.96%E -4.69%K -6.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-09 17:14
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -15.96%E -4.69%K -6.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-09 17:14
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.76%E -3.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.47%EV -7.35%E -3.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-17 08:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.76%E -3.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.57%EV -8.29%E -4.28%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%EV -9.78%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 06:35
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -11.76%E -3.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-17 20:49
Betclic (FR)🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 28.02%EV -12.32%E -3.94%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.41%EV -10.66%E -5.64%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.57%EV -15.22%E -4.44%K -6.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-17 08:20
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-16 19:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.31%EV -11.13%E -5.92%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -15.96%E -4.69%K -6.65%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-17 08:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.59%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%11.2%2026-07-18 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19%186.7%2026-07-18 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19%186.7%2026-07-18 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19%186.7%2026-07-18 20:25