Idioma:Español
Le Havre v AS Monaco
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Le Havre (Local)
Predicción 28.01%3.57momio equitativo
EV +2.24%
Ventaja +0.614%
Kelly +0.846%
Crecimiento +0.019%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.93%28.01%28.06%29.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.353.403.6532.26%29.88%29.41%27.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
AS Monaco (Visitante)
Predicción 47.27%2.12momio equitativo
EV -3.09%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -2.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.81%47.25%47.31%48.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.881.982.002.0553.19%50.55%50.13%48.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.72%4.05momio equitativo
EV -0.141%
Ventaja -0.035%
Kelly -0.046%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.95%24.74%24.64%26.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.723.704.0429.41%26.90%27.03%24.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Le Havre (Local): 28.01%; AS Monaco (Visitante): 47.27%; Empate: 24.72%. Para Le Havre (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.57. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.65, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.24%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%EV +2.24%E +0.614%K +0.846%G +0.019% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.70%EV -4.51%E -2.23%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 24.35%EV -0.141%E -0.035%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93%EV +0.841%E +0.234%K +0.323%G +0.003% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -5.93%E -2.98%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.36%EV -1.62%E -0.408%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -1.96%E -0.560%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03%EV -4.51%E -2.23%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%EV -1.13%E -0.282%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-18 20:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -3.09%E -1.51%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-17 08:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.97%EV -6.88%E -3.49%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -3.60%E -0.923%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 20:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.31%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 20:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.60%E -0.923%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-10 14:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.60%E -0.923%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-10 14:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.60%E -0.923%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-18 20:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.60%E -0.923%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-18 20:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 03:52 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -7.35%E -3.75%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-10 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -7.35%E -3.75%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-10 14:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-09 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-10 14:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-09 17:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-09 17:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-09 17:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-09 17:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-09 17:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-09 17:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-09 17:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-09 17:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-09 17:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-09 17:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-09 19:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-09 22:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-16 12:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30%EV -4.51%E -2.23%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.37%E -0.599%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-17 20:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30%EV -4.51%E -2.23%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.37%E -0.599%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-17 20:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -3.09%E -1.51%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-18 19:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-18 20:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.71%E -5.08%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 20:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.75%EV -8.40%E -2.57%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.23%EV -4.10%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-18 09:17 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -6.40%E -3.23%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-17 06:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.43%EV -6.40%E -3.23%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-17 06:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -15.96%E -4.69%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-09 17:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -15.96%E -4.69%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-09 17:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.76%E -3.73%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.47%EV -7.35%E -3.75%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -8.54%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-17 08:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.76%E -3.73%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.57%EV -8.29%E -4.28%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%EV -9.78%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-17 06:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -11.76%E -3.73%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-17 20:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.02%EV -12.32%E -3.94%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.41%EV -10.66%E -5.64%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.57%EV -15.22%E -4.44%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-17 08:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.07%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-16 19:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -13.16%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.31%EV -11.13%E -5.92%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -15.96%E -4.69%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-17 08:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.59% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31% | 11.2% | 2026-07-18 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19% | 186.7% | 2026-07-18 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19% | 186.7% | 2026-07-18 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19% | 186.7% | 2026-07-18 20:25 |