Language:English
RC Lens v Nice
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
RC Lens (Local)
Prediction 63.87%1.57fair odd
EV -4.83%
Edge -3.24%
Kelly -9.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.32%63.86%63.92%67.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.441.441.4973.53%69.48%69.44%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nice (Visit)
Prediction 14.87%6.73fair odd
EV +4.07%
Edge +0.582%
Kelly +0.679%
Growth +0.028%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.22%14.85%14.78%16.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.476.507.0018.18%15.47%15.38%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.26%4.70fair odd
EV +2.05%
Edge +0.427%
Kelly +0.539%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.70%21.28%21.30%21.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.494.504.8023.81%22.30%22.22%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: RC Lens (Local): 63.87%; Nice (Visit): 14.87%; Draw: 21.26%. For Nice (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.73. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.07%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.17%EV -3.27%E -0.718%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -8.66%E -6.06%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV +2.05%E +0.427%K +0.539%G +0.011% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -8.66%E -6.06%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV +2.05%E +0.427%K +0.539%G +0.011% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -8.66%E -6.06%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV +2.05%E +0.427%K +0.539%G +0.011% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.74%EV -9.94%E -7.05%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV +0.985%E +0.207%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 6.3% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -0.078%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -0.078%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -0.078%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -11.86%E -8.59%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -0.078%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.74%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV +0.358%E +0.053%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.97%EV -2.20%E -0.479%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.74%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.20%EV +0.358%E +0.053%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.06%EV -3.27%E -0.718%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-22 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -13.13%E -9.66%K -36.48%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV +0.358%E +0.053%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -2.20%E -0.479%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -3.36%E -0.517%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.33%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -8.66%E -6.06%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.36%E -0.517%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.20%E -0.479%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.36%E -0.517%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-22 18:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -3.36%E -0.517%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -4.85%E -0.757%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -8.58%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -9.94%E -7.05%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -4.85%E -0.757%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -4.33%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.33%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 18:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.33%EV -6.11%E -4.15%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -7.94%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-22 18:31 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-22 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-22 18:31 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-22 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.23%E -3.31%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.23%E -3.31%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.79% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.7% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.79% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.7% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.79% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.7% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |