L’École des cotesFrançais
RC Lens v Nice
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
RC Lens (Local)
Prévision 63.87%1.57cote équitable
EV -4.83%
Avantage -3.24%
Kelly -9.86%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.49
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.32%63.86%63.92%67.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.441.441.4973.53%69.48%69.44%67.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Nice (Visiteur)
Prévision 14.87%6.73cote équitable
EV +4.07%
Avantage +0.582%
Kelly +0.679%
Croissance +0.028%
avec la cote maximale 7.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.22%14.85%14.78%16.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.476.507.0018.18%15.47%15.38%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 21.26%4.70cote équitable
EV +2.05%
Avantage +0.427%
Kelly +0.539%
Croissance +0.011%
avec la cote maximale 4.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.70%21.28%21.30%21.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.494.504.8023.81%22.30%22.22%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (28 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.07%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.17%EV -3.27%E -0.718%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -8.66%E -6.06%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV +2.05%E +0.427%K +0.539%G +0.011% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -8.66%E -6.06%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV +2.05%E +0.427%K +0.539%G +0.011% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -8.66%E -6.06%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV +2.05%E +0.427%K +0.539%G +0.011% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.74%EV -9.94%E -7.05%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV +0.985%E +0.207%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 6.3% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -0.078%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -0.078%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -0.078%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -11.86%E -8.59%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -0.078%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.74%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV +0.358%E +0.053%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.97%EV -2.20%E -0.479%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.74%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.20%EV +0.358%E +0.053%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.06%EV -3.27%E -0.718%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-22 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -13.13%E -9.66%K -36.48%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV +0.358%E +0.053%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -2.20%E -0.479%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Betway | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -3.36%E -0.517%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.33%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -8.66%E -6.06%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.36%E -0.517%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.20%E -0.479%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.36%E -0.517%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-22 18:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -3.36%E -0.517%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -4.85%E -0.757%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -8.58%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -9.94%E -7.05%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -4.85%E -0.757%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -4.33%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.33%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 18:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.33%EV -6.11%E -4.15%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -7.94%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-22 18:31 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-22 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-22 18:31 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-22 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.23%E -3.31%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.23%E -3.31%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.79% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.7% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.79% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.7% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.79% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.7% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |