La escuela de los momiosEspañol
RC Lens v Nice
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
RC Lens (Local)
Predicción 63.87%1.57momio equitativo
EV -4.83%
Ventaja -3.24%
Kelly -9.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.32%63.86%63.92%67.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.441.441.4973.53%69.48%69.44%67.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Nice (Visitante)
Predicción 14.87%6.73momio equitativo
EV +4.07%
Ventaja +0.582%
Kelly +0.679%
Crecimiento +0.028%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.22%14.85%14.78%16.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.476.507.0018.18%15.47%15.38%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.26%4.70momio equitativo
EV +2.05%
Ventaja +0.427%
Kelly +0.539%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.70%21.28%21.30%21.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.494.504.8023.81%22.30%22.22%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (28 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.07%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.17%EV -3.27%E -0.718%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -8.66%E -6.06%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV +2.05%E +0.427%K +0.539%G +0.011% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -8.66%E -6.06%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV +2.05%E +0.427%K +0.539%G +0.011% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -8.66%E -6.06%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV +2.05%E +0.427%K +0.539%G +0.011% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.74%EV -9.94%E -7.05%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV +0.985%E +0.207%K +0.263%G +0.003% | 6.3% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -0.078%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -0.078%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -0.078%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -11.86%E -8.59%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -0.078%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.74%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV +0.358%E +0.053%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.97%EV -2.20%E -0.479%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.74%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.20%EV +0.358%E +0.053%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.06%EV -3.27%E -0.718%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-22 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -13.13%E -9.66%K -36.48%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV +0.358%E +0.053%K +0.062%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -2.20%E -0.479%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Betway | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -3.36%E -0.517%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.33%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -8.66%E -6.06%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.36%E -0.517%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.20%E -0.479%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.36%E -0.517%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-22 18:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -3.36%E -0.517%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -4.85%E -0.757%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -8.58%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -9.94%E -7.05%K -24.24%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -4.85%E -0.757%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -4.33%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.33%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 18:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.33%EV -6.11%E -4.15%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -7.94%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-22 18:31 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-22 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-22 18:31 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-22 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.23%E -3.31%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.23%E -3.31%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.79% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.7% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.79% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.7% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.79% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.7% | 2026-05-22 18:50 |