La scuola delle quote

RC Lens v Nice

Inizio: 2026-05-22 19:00 UTC

Finale: RC Lens 3–1 Nice

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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28 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

RC Lens (Casa)

Previsione 63.87%1.57quota equa
EV -4.83%
Vantaggio -3.24%
Kelly -9.86%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.49

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.32%63.86%63.92%67.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.441.441.4973.53%69.48%69.44%67.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nice (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.87%6.73quota equa
EV +4.07%
Vantaggio +0.582%
Kelly +0.679%
Crescita +0.028%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.22%14.85%14.78%16.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.476.507.0018.18%15.47%15.38%14.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.26%4.70quota equa
EV +2.05%
Vantaggio +0.427%
Kelly +0.539%
Crescita +0.011%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.70%21.28%21.30%21.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.494.504.8023.81%22.30%22.22%20.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.07%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.17%EV -3.27%E -0.718%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-22 18:50
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -8.66%E -6.06%K -20.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV +2.05%E +0.427%K +0.539%G +0.011%5.0%2026-05-22 18:50
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -8.66%E -6.06%K -20.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV +2.05%E +0.427%K +0.539%G +0.011%5.0%2026-05-22 18:50
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -8.66%E -6.06%K -20.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV +2.05%E +0.427%K +0.539%G +0.011%5.0%2026-05-22 18:50
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 66.74%EV -9.94%E -7.05%K -24.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV +0.985%E +0.207%K +0.263%G +0.003%6.3%2026-05-22 18:50
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -0.078%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 18:50
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -0.078%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 18:50
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -0.078%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -11.86%E -8.59%K -31.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +4.07%E +0.582%K +0.679%G +0.028%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -0.078%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:50
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.74%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV +0.358%E +0.053%K +0.062%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.97%EV -2.20%E -0.479%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-22 18:50
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.74%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.20%EV +0.358%E +0.053%K +0.062%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.06%EV -3.27%E -0.718%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-22 18:35
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.79%EV -13.13%E -9.66%K -36.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV +0.358%E +0.053%K +0.062%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -2.20%E -0.479%K -0.612%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-22 18:50
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -3.36%E -0.517%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.33%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 18:50
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -8.66%E -6.06%K -20.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.36%E -0.517%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.20%E -0.479%K -0.612%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 18:50
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.36%E -0.517%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 18:49
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -3.36%E -0.517%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-22 18:50
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.39%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -4.85%E -0.757%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -8.58%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-22 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.20%EV -9.94%E -7.05%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -4.85%E -0.757%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -4.33%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-22 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.33%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 18:40
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 18:40
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -4.83%E -3.24%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 18:39
Codere (IT)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.33%EV -6.11%E -4.15%K -13.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 18:40
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -7.94%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-22 18:31
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-22 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-22 18:31
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -10.79%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-22 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.23%E -3.31%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-22 18:50
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.02%E -5.57%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.23%E -3.31%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-22 18:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.79%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.7%2026-05-22 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.79%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.7%2026-05-22 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.79%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.7%2026-05-22 18:50