Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

VPS Vaasa v IFK Mariehamn

Początek: 2026-07-04 15:02 UTC

Wynik końcowy: VPS Vaasa 4–0 IFK Mariehamn

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

VPS Vaasa (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 73.53%1.36kurs godziwy
EV -2.21%
Przewaga -1.66%
Kelly -6.69%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.33

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
70.87%73.54%73.64%75.58%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.201.271.271.3383.33%78.84%78.74%75.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

IFK Mariehamn (Goście)

Prognoza 9.67%10.34kurs godziwy
EV +6.39%
Przewaga +0.581%
Kelly +0.639%
Wzrost +0.041%

przy maksymalnym kursie 11.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
8.33%9.62%9.65%11.34%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
8.009.119.0011.0012.50%10.98%11.11%9.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 16.80%5.95kurs godziwy
EV +3.99%
Przewaga +0.645%
Kelly +0.769%
Wzrost +0.031%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.19

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.54%16.84%16.71%18.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.905.315.106.1920.41%18.82%19.61%16.16%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: VPS Vaasa (Gospodarze): 73.53%; IFK Mariehamn (Goście): 9.67%; Remis: 16.80%. Dla wyniku IFK Mariehamn (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 10.34. 5 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 11.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +6.39%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.21%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV +6.39%E +0.581%K +0.639%G +0.041%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.04%EV +0.799%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001%3.9%2026-07-04 14:59
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -10.30%E -8.44%K -46.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV +6.39%E +0.581%K +0.639%G +0.041%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -3.40%E -0.592%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 15:00
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +6.39%E +0.581%K +0.639%G +0.041%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 15:00
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -8.83%E -7.12%K -36.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV +0.799%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001%6.8%2026-07-04 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.61%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -5.08%E -0.899%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 14:59
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.14%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%10.31I 9.70%NM 9.33%EV -0.282%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.54%EV +3.99%E +0.645%K +0.769%G +0.031%4.0%2026-07-04 14:59
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.26%EV -10.30%E -8.44%K -46.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.56%EV -0.881%E -0.149%K -0.180%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 15:00
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -5.21%E -0.532%K -0.593%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -9.28%E -1.72%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 15:00
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -5.21%E -0.532%K -0.593%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -9.28%E -1.72%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 15:00
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.08%EV -3.68%E -2.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -11.80%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 15:00
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -3.40%E -0.592%K -0.716%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 14:59
Bet Right🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.06%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 14:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.06%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 14:59
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -11.80%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 15:00
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-04 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-04 14:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-04 14:59
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -11.77%E -9.81%K -58.83%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -7.60%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-04 15:00
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.86%EV -2.21%E -1.66%K -6.69%G +0.000%9.13I 10.95%NM 10.47%EV -11.69%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.67%EV -9.11%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 14:59
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.89%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%9.06I 11.04%NM 10.30%EV -12.37%E -1.37%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.81%EV -6.76%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 14:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV +0.799%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001%6.5%2026-07-04 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV +0.799%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001%6.5%2026-07-04 15:00
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV +0.799%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001%6.5%2026-07-04 15:00
BetUS🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -5.92%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 14:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -7.60%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 14:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -4.24%E -0.744%K -0.902%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 15:00
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.35%E -5.84%K -28.29%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -9.28%E -1.72%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 15:00
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.62%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.80%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 15:00
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.62%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.80%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 15:00
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-04 14:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-04 14:59
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -10.30%E -8.44%K -46.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-04 15:00
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 15:00
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 14:49
Neds🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 15:00
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 15:00
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.30%E -8.44%K -46.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -7.60%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.87%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -22.62%E -2.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.87%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -22.62%E -2.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.02%EV -8.83%E -7.12%K -36.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.01%EV -22.62%E -2.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -17.68%E -3.61%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-04 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 71.65%EV -11.03%E -9.12%K -52.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.84%EV -22.62%E -2.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.51%EV -16.84%E -3.40%K -4.26%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-04 14:59
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.14%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%1.3%2026-07-04 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 76.78%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.36%1.8%2026-07-04 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 76.78%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.36%1.8%2026-07-04 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 76.92%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.26%2.4%2026-07-04 15:00