La scuola delle quote

VPS Vaasa v IFK Mariehamn

Inizio: 2026-07-04 15:02 UTC

Finale: VPS Vaasa 4–0 IFK Mariehamn

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

VPS Vaasa (Casa)

Previsione 73.53%1.36quota equa
EV -2.21%
Vantaggio -1.66%
Kelly -6.69%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.87%73.54%73.64%75.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.271.271.3383.33%78.84%78.74%75.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

IFK Mariehamn (Trasferta)

Previsione 9.67%10.34quota equa
EV +6.39%
Vantaggio +0.581%
Kelly +0.639%
Crescita +0.041%

ipotizzando la quota massima 11.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.33%9.62%9.65%11.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
8.009.119.0011.0012.50%10.98%11.11%9.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 16.80%5.95quota equa
EV +3.99%
Vantaggio +0.645%
Kelly +0.769%
Crescita +0.031%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.19

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.54%16.84%16.71%18.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.905.315.106.1920.41%18.82%19.61%16.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 75.21%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV +6.39%E +0.581%K +0.639%G +0.041%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.04%EV +0.799%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001%3.9%2026-07-04 14:59
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -10.30%E -8.44%K -46.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV +6.39%E +0.581%K +0.639%G +0.041%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -3.40%E -0.592%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 15:00
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +6.39%E +0.581%K +0.639%G +0.041%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 15:00
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -8.83%E -7.12%K -36.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV +0.799%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001%6.8%2026-07-04 15:00
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.61%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -5.08%E -0.899%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 14:59
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.14%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%10.31I 9.70%NM 9.33%EV -0.282%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.54%EV +3.99%E +0.645%K +0.769%G +0.031%4.0%2026-07-04 14:59
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.26%EV -10.30%E -8.44%K -46.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.56%EV -0.881%E -0.149%K -0.180%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 15:00
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -5.21%E -0.532%K -0.593%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -9.28%E -1.72%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 15:00
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -5.21%E -0.532%K -0.593%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -9.28%E -1.72%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 15:00
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.08%EV -3.68%E -2.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -11.80%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 15:00
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -3.40%E -0.592%K -0.716%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 14:59
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 72.06%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 14:59
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.06%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 14:59
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -11.80%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 15:00
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-04 14:59
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-04 14:59
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-04 14:59
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -11.77%E -9.81%K -58.83%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -7.60%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-04 15:00
GTbets1.33I 75.19%NM 71.86%EV -2.21%E -1.66%K -6.69%G +0.000%9.13I 10.95%NM 10.47%EV -11.69%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.67%EV -9.11%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 14:59
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.89%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%9.06I 11.04%NM 10.30%EV -12.37%E -1.37%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.81%EV -6.76%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 14:59
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV +0.799%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001%6.5%2026-07-04 15:00
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV +0.799%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001%6.5%2026-07-04 15:00
BetAnything1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV +0.799%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001%6.5%2026-07-04 15:00
BetUS1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -5.92%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 14:59
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -7.60%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 14:59
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -4.24%E -0.744%K -0.902%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 15:00
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.35%E -5.84%K -28.29%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -9.28%E -1.72%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 15:00
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 72.62%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.80%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 15:00
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 72.62%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.80%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 15:00
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-04 14:59
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-04 14:59
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -10.30%E -8.44%K -46.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-04 15:00
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 15:00
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 14:49
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 15:00
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 15:00
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.30%E -8.44%K -46.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -7.60%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 15:00
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 70.87%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -22.62%E -2.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 70.87%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -22.62%E -2.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 15:00
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 71.02%EV -8.83%E -7.12%K -36.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.01%EV -22.62%E -2.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -17.68%E -3.61%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-04 15:00
Unibet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 71.65%EV -11.03%E -9.12%K -52.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.84%EV -22.62%E -2.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.51%EV -16.84%E -3.40%K -4.26%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-04 14:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.14%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%1.3%2026-07-04 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 76.78%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.36%1.8%2026-07-04 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 76.78%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.36%1.8%2026-07-04 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 76.92%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.26%2.4%2026-07-04 15:00