مدرسة الاحتمالات

VPS Vaasa v IFK Mariehamn

البداية: 2026-07-04 15:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: VPS Vaasa 4–0 IFK Mariehamn

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

VPS Vaasa (المضيف)

التنبؤ 73.53%1.36السعر العادل
EV -2.21%
الأفضلية -1.66%
Kelly -6.69%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
70.87%73.54%73.64%75.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.201.271.271.3383.33%78.84%78.74%75.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

IFK Mariehamn (الضيف)

التنبؤ 9.67%10.34السعر العادل
EV +6.39%
الأفضلية +0.581%
Kelly +0.639%
النمو +0.041%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 11.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
8.33%9.62%9.65%11.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
8.009.119.0011.0012.50%10.98%11.11%9.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 16.80%5.95السعر العادل
EV +3.99%
الأفضلية +0.645%
Kelly +0.769%
النمو +0.031%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.19

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.54%16.84%16.71%18.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.905.315.106.1920.41%18.82%19.61%16.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 75.21%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV +6.39%E +0.581%K +0.639%G +0.041%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.04%EV +0.799%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001%3.9%2026-07-04 14:59
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -10.30%E -8.44%K -46.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV +6.39%E +0.581%K +0.639%G +0.041%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -3.40%E -0.592%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 15:00
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +6.39%E +0.581%K +0.639%G +0.041%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 15:00
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -8.83%E -7.12%K -36.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV +0.799%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001%6.8%2026-07-04 15:00
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.61%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -5.08%E -0.899%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 14:59
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.14%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%10.31I 9.70%NM 9.33%EV -0.282%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.54%EV +3.99%E +0.645%K +0.769%G +0.031%4.0%2026-07-04 14:59
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.26%EV -10.30%E -8.44%K -46.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.56%EV -0.881%E -0.149%K -0.180%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 15:00
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -5.21%E -0.532%K -0.593%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -9.28%E -1.72%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 15:00
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -5.21%E -0.532%K -0.593%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -9.28%E -1.72%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 15:00
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.08%EV -3.68%E -2.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -11.80%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 15:00
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -3.40%E -0.592%K -0.716%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 14:59
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 72.06%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 14:59
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.06%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 14:59
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -11.80%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 15:00
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-04 14:59
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-04 14:59
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-04 14:59
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -11.77%E -9.81%K -58.83%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -7.60%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-04 15:00
GTbets1.33I 75.19%NM 71.86%EV -2.21%E -1.66%K -6.69%G +0.000%9.13I 10.95%NM 10.47%EV -11.69%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.67%EV -9.11%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 14:59
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.89%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%9.06I 11.04%NM 10.30%EV -12.37%E -1.37%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.81%EV -6.76%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 14:59
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV +0.799%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001%6.5%2026-07-04 15:00
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV +0.799%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001%6.5%2026-07-04 15:00
BetAnything1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV +0.799%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001%6.5%2026-07-04 15:00
BetUS1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -5.92%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 14:59
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -7.60%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 14:59
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -4.24%E -0.744%K -0.902%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 15:00
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.35%E -5.84%K -28.29%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -9.28%E -1.72%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 15:00
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 72.62%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.80%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 15:00
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 72.62%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.80%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 15:00
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-04 14:59
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-04 14:59
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -10.30%E -8.44%K -46.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-04 15:00
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 15:00
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 14:49
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 15:00
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 15:00
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.30%E -8.44%K -46.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -7.60%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 15:00
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 70.87%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -22.62%E -2.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 70.87%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -22.62%E -2.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 15:00
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 71.02%EV -8.83%E -7.12%K -36.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.01%EV -22.62%E -2.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -17.68%E -3.61%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-04 15:00
Unibet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 71.65%EV -11.03%E -9.12%K -52.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.84%EV -22.62%E -2.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.51%EV -16.84%E -3.40%K -4.26%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-04 14:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.14%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96%1.3%2026-07-04 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 76.78%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.36%1.8%2026-07-04 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 76.78%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.36%1.8%2026-07-04 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 76.92%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.26%2.4%2026-07-04 15:00