La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
VPS Vaasa v IFK Mariehamn
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
VPS Vaasa (Local)
Predicción 73.53%1.36momio equitativo
EV -2.21%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -6.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.87%73.54%73.64%75.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.271.271.3383.33%78.84%78.74%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
IFK Mariehamn (Visitante)
Predicción 9.67%10.34momio equitativo
EV +6.39%
Ventaja +0.581%
Kelly +0.639%
Crecimiento +0.041%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.33%9.62%9.65%11.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.009.119.0011.0012.50%10.98%11.11%9.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 16.80%5.95momio equitativo
EV +3.99%
Ventaja +0.645%
Kelly +0.769%
Crecimiento +0.031%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.54%16.84%16.71%18.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.905.315.106.1920.41%18.82%19.61%16.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.21%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.75%EV +6.39%E +0.581%K +0.639%G +0.041% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.04%EV +0.799%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 14:59 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.58%EV -10.30%E -8.44%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV +6.39%E +0.581%K +0.639%G +0.041% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -3.40%E -0.592%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +6.39%E +0.581%K +0.639%G +0.041% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -8.83%E -7.12%K -36.77%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV +0.799%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.61%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.51%EV -5.08%E -0.899%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 14:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.14%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 10.31I 9.70%NM 9.33%EV -0.282%E -0.027%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.54%EV +3.99%E +0.645%K +0.769%G +0.031% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 14:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.26%EV -10.30%E -8.44%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.56%EV -0.881%E -0.149%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -5.21%E -0.532%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -9.28%E -1.72%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Betsson | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -5.21%E -0.532%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -9.28%E -1.72%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.08%EV -3.68%E -2.81%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -11.80%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -3.40%E -0.592%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 14:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.06%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.06%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 14:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -11.80%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-04 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-04 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-04 14:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -11.77%E -9.81%K -58.83%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -7.60%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| GTbets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.86%EV -2.21%E -1.66%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 9.13I 10.95%NM 10.47%EV -11.69%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.67%EV -9.11%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 14:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.89%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 9.06I 11.04%NM 10.30%EV -12.37%E -1.37%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.81%EV -6.76%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV +0.799%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV +0.799%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV +0.799%E +0.133%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| BetUS | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -5.92%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -7.60%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 14:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -4.24%E -0.744%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -7.35%E -5.84%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -9.28%E -1.72%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.62%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.80%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.62%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.80%E -2.25%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-04 14:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-04 14:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -10.30%E -8.44%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| betPARX | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -4.41%E -3.39%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 14:49 |
| Neds | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -16.00%E -3.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.30%E -8.44%K -46.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -7.60%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.87%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -22.62%E -2.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.87%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -22.62%E -2.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -14.32%E -2.81%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.02%EV -8.83%E -7.12%K -36.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.01%EV -22.62%E -2.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -17.68%E -3.61%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 71.65%EV -11.03%E -9.12%K -52.53%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.84%EV -22.62%E -2.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.51%EV -16.84%E -3.40%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-07-04 14:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.14% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96% | 1.3% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.78% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.36% | 1.8% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.78% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.36% | 1.8% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.92% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.26% | 2.4% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |