Language:English
VPS Vaasa v IF Gnistan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
VPS Vaasa (Local)
Prediction 49.25%2.03fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%49.18%49.25%50.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.891.881.9856.50%52.83%53.19%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IF Gnistan (Visit)
Prediction 25.06%3.99fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -0.708%
Kelly -0.954%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.20%25.17%25.08%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.593.603.8830.30%27.83%27.78%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.68%3.89fair odd
EV +1.45%
Edge +0.367%
Kelly +0.492%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.44%25.65%25.68%27.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.513.503.9533.33%28.48%28.57%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VPS Vaasa (Local): 49.25%; IF Gnistan (Visit): 25.06%; Draw: 25.68%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.61%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.91%EV -2.75%E -0.708%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +1.45%E +0.367%K +0.492%G +0.007% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.86%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -3.50%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -3.69%E -0.983%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.86%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -3.50%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -3.69%E -0.983%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.86%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -3.50%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -3.69%E -0.983%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -7.76%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -4.46%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.18%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV -3.50%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.92%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -4.75%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.62%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -3.50%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.76%EV -5.48%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 13:57 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -9.87%E -5.39%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -6.25%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 13:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -9.87%E -5.39%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -4.75%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -11.35%E -6.30%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -17.29%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.70%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -3.50%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.03%EV -7.79%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.04%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -8.51%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.82%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 13:58 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.87%E -5.39%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.87%E -5.39%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.87%E -5.39%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -3.47%E -1.77%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 13:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -3.47%E -1.77%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -14.78%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -14.78%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.52%EV -4.45%E -2.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -14.78%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.16%EV -12.83%E -7.25%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.98%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -17.29%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -16.53%E -5.09%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.61%EV -11.35%E -6.30%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.42%EV -17.29%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.97%EV -22.95%E -7.65%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |