مدرسة الاحتمالات

VPS Vaasa v IF Gnistan

البداية: 2026-05-09 14:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: VPS Vaasa 1–1 IF Gnistan

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

VPS Vaasa (المضيف)

التنبؤ 49.25%2.03السعر العادل
EV -2.48%
الأفضلية -1.25%
Kelly -2.53%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.98

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.38%49.18%49.25%50.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.771.891.881.9856.50%52.83%53.19%50.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

IF Gnistan (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.06%3.99السعر العادل
EV -2.75%
الأفضلية -0.708%
Kelly -0.954%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.20%25.17%25.08%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.593.603.8830.30%27.83%27.78%25.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.68%3.89السعر العادل
EV +1.45%
الأفضلية +0.367%
Kelly +0.492%
النمو +0.007%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.44%25.65%25.68%27.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.513.503.9533.33%28.48%28.57%25.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 50.61%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.91%EV -2.75%E -0.708%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +1.45%E +0.367%K +0.492%G +0.007%3.4%2026-05-09 13:59
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.86%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -3.50%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -3.69%E -0.983%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:59
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.86%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -3.50%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -3.69%E -0.983%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 14:00
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 49.86%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -3.50%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -3.69%E -0.983%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -7.76%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -4.46%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.18%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV -3.50%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.92%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 13:59
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 13:59
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -4.75%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 13:59
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 14:00
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 49.62%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -3.50%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.76%EV -5.48%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 13:57
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -9.87%E -5.39%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -6.25%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 13:58
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -9.87%E -5.39%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -4.75%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 13:59
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 13:59
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 13:59
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -11.35%E -6.30%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -17.29%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-09 13:59
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.70%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -3.50%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.03%EV -7.79%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 49.04%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -8.51%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.82%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 13:59
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 13:59
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:58
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 13:59
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 13:59
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 13:59
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 13:59
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 13:59
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.87%E -5.39%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.87%E -5.39%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.87%E -5.39%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 13:59
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 13:59
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 13:59
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 14:00
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 14:00
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 13:59
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -3.47%E -1.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 13:46
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -3.47%E -1.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 13:59
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -14.78%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 13:59
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -14.78%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 13:59
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 46.52%EV -4.45%E -2.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -14.78%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.16%EV -12.83%E -7.25%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.98%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-09 13:59
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -17.29%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -16.53%E -5.09%K -7.35%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-09 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.61%EV -11.35%E -6.30%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.42%EV -17.29%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.97%EV -22.95%E -7.65%K -11.47%G +0.000%19.2%2026-05-09 13:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-05-09 13:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.3%2026-05-09 13:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.3%2026-05-09 13:59
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.3%2026-05-09 13:59