La scuola delle quote

VPS Vaasa v IF Gnistan

Inizio: 2026-05-09 14:02 UTC

Finale: VPS Vaasa 1–1 IF Gnistan

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

VPS Vaasa (Casa)

Previsione 49.25%2.03quota equa
EV -2.48%
Vantaggio -1.25%
Kelly -2.53%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.38%49.18%49.25%50.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.771.891.881.9856.50%52.83%53.19%50.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

IF Gnistan (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.06%3.99quota equa
EV -2.75%
Vantaggio -0.708%
Kelly -0.954%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.20%25.17%25.08%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.593.603.8830.30%27.83%27.78%25.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.68%3.89quota equa
EV +1.45%
Vantaggio +0.367%
Kelly +0.492%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.44%25.65%25.68%27.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.513.503.9533.33%28.48%28.57%25.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 50.61%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.91%EV -2.75%E -0.708%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +1.45%E +0.367%K +0.492%G +0.007%3.4%2026-05-09 13:59
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.86%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -3.50%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -3.69%E -0.983%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:59
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.86%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -3.50%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -3.69%E -0.983%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 14:00
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 49.86%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -3.50%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -3.69%E -0.983%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -7.76%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -4.46%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.18%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV -3.50%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.92%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 13:59
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 13:59
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -4.75%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 13:59
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 14:00
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 49.62%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -3.50%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.76%EV -5.48%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 13:57
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -9.87%E -5.39%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -6.25%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 13:58
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -9.87%E -5.39%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -4.75%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 13:59
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 13:59
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 13:59
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -11.35%E -6.30%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -17.29%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-09 13:59
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.70%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -3.50%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.03%EV -7.79%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 49.04%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -8.51%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.82%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 13:59
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 13:59
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:58
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 13:59
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 13:59
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 13:59
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 13:59
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 13:59
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.87%E -5.39%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.87%E -5.39%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.87%E -5.39%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 13:59
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 13:59
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 13:59
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 14:00
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 14:00
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 13:59
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -3.47%E -1.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 13:46
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -3.47%E -1.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 13:59
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -14.78%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 13:59
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -14.78%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 13:59
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 46.52%EV -4.45%E -2.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -14.78%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.16%EV -12.83%E -7.25%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.98%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-09 13:59
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -17.29%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -16.53%E -5.09%K -7.35%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-09 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.61%EV -11.35%E -6.30%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.42%EV -17.29%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.97%EV -22.95%E -7.65%K -11.47%G +0.000%19.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-05-09 13:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.3%2026-05-09 13:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.3%2026-05-09 13:59
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.3%2026-05-09 13:59