L’École des cotesFrançais
VPS Vaasa v IF Gnistan
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
VPS Vaasa (Local)
Prévision 49.25%2.03cote équitable
EV -2.48%
Avantage -1.25%
Kelly -2.53%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.98
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.38%49.18%49.25%50.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.891.881.9856.50%52.83%53.19%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
IF Gnistan (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.06%3.99cote équitable
EV -2.75%
Avantage -0.708%
Kelly -0.954%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.88
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.20%25.17%25.08%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.593.603.8830.30%27.83%27.78%25.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.68%3.89cote équitable
EV +1.45%
Avantage +0.367%
Kelly +0.492%
Croissance +0.007%
avec la cote maximale 3.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.44%25.65%25.68%27.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.513.503.9533.33%28.48%28.57%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.61%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.91%EV -2.75%E -0.708%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +1.45%E +0.367%K +0.492%G +0.007% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.86%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -3.50%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -3.69%E -0.983%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.86%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -3.50%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -3.69%E -0.983%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.86%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -3.50%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -3.69%E -0.983%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -7.76%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -4.46%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.18%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV -3.50%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.92%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -4.75%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.62%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -3.50%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.76%EV -5.48%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 13:57 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -9.87%E -5.39%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -6.25%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 13:58 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.01%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -9.87%E -5.39%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -4.75%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -11.35%E -6.30%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -17.29%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.70%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -3.50%E -0.909%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.03%EV -7.79%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.04%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -8.51%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.82%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.26%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 13:58 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.87%E -5.39%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.87%E -5.39%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.77%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.87%E -5.39%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Casumo | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| betPARX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.89%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -3.47%E -1.77%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 13:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -3.47%E -1.77%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.53%E -3.92%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -14.78%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -14.78%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.52%EV -4.45%E -2.30%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -14.78%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.16%EV -12.83%E -7.25%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -12.27%E -3.51%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.98%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -7.41%E -3.94%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -17.29%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -16.53%E -5.09%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.61%EV -11.35%E -6.30%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.42%EV -17.29%E -5.24%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.97%EV -22.95%E -7.65%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Matchbook | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |