Language:English
TPS Turku v HJK Helsinki
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TPS Turku (Local)
Prediction 21.18%4.72fair odd
EV +16.47%
Edge +2.99%
Kelly +3.66%
Growth +0.602%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.96%20.92%21.31%23.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.434.405.5025.00%22.57%22.73%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
HJK Helsinki (Visit)
Prediction 55.11%1.81fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -4.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.32%55.31%55.02%59.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.651.651.7567.57%60.65%60.61%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.72%4.22fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -0.913%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.86%23.77%23.66%25.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.873.904.0630.77%25.81%25.64%24.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TPS Turku (Local): 21.18%; HJK Helsinki (Visit): 55.11%; Draw: 23.72%. For TPS Turku (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.72. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.47%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +16.47%E +2.99%K +3.66%G +0.602% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -13.48%E -8.59%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.43%EV +0.160%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.53%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.04%EV -4.66%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -11.83%E -7.39%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -2.59%E -0.564%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.36%EV -12.93%E -8.18%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -2.59%E -0.564%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.36%EV -12.93%E -8.18%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -2.59%E -0.564%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -13.48%E -8.59%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.92%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.95%E -0.974%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.14%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.59%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.27%EV -3.71%E -0.913%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -4.66%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -4.66%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -4.66%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.12%EV -8.31%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.43%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.73%EV -8.95%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 57.33%EV -18.44%E -12.46%K -38.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.93%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -10.00%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -10.00%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.91%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -10.00%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.91%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -10.73%E -6.62%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -10.73%E -6.62%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 20.91%EV -12.12%E -2.92%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 55.63%EV -14.03%E -9.00%K -25.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.46%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -13.18%E -3.21%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -7.42%E -4.42%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.16%EV -14.66%E -3.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.63%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.21%EV -4.66%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -15.30%E -3.82%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.91%EV -11.83%E -7.39%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.93%EV -15.30%E -3.82%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.32%EV -13.48%E -8.59%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.76%EV -22.92%E -7.05%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.31% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.31% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 1.5% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 1.5% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |