La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
TPS Turku v HJK Helsinki
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
TPS Turku (Local)
Predicción 21.18%4.72momio equitativo
EV +16.47%
Ventaja +2.99%
Kelly +3.66%
Crecimiento +0.602%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.96%20.92%21.31%23.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.434.405.5025.00%22.57%22.73%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
HJK Helsinki (Visitante)
Predicción 55.11%1.81momio equitativo
EV -3.56%
Ventaja -2.04%
Kelly -4.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.32%55.31%55.02%59.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.651.651.7567.57%60.65%60.61%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.72%4.22momio equitativo
EV -3.71%
Ventaja -0.913%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.86%23.77%23.66%25.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.873.904.0630.77%25.81%25.64%24.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +16.47%E +2.99%K +3.66%G +0.602% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -13.48%E -8.59%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Pinnacle | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.43%EV +0.160%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.53%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.04%EV -4.66%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Unibet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Casumo | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Grosvenor | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| TABtouch | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| betPARX | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -11.83%E -7.39%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -2.59%E -0.564%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.36%EV -12.93%E -8.18%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -2.59%E -0.564%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.36%EV -12.93%E -8.18%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| LeoVegas | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -2.59%E -0.564%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -13.48%E -8.59%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Coolbet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.92%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.95%E -0.974%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| BetMGM | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| FanDuel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| GTbets | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.14%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.59%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.27%EV -3.71%E -0.913%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -4.66%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -4.66%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| BetAnything | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -4.66%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| BetUS | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| DraftKings | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Bovada | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Everygame | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| SportsBet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.12%EV -8.31%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.43%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.73%EV -8.95%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 57.33%EV -18.44%E -12.46%K -38.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.93%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Betsson | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -10.00%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Bet Right | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -10.00%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.91%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -10.00%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.91%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Betway | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Bet Victor | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| betfred_uk | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Neds | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -10.73%E -6.62%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Sky Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -10.73%E -6.62%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 20.91%EV -12.12%E -2.92%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 55.63%EV -14.03%E -9.00%K -25.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.46%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| PlayUp | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -13.18%E -3.21%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -7.42%E -4.42%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| 1xBet | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.16%EV -14.66%E -3.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.63%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.21%EV -4.66%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -15.30%E -3.82%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.91%EV -11.83%E -7.39%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.93%EV -15.30%E -3.82%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.32%EV -13.48%E -8.59%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.76%EV -22.92%E -7.05%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.31% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.31% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 1.5% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Matchbook | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 1.5% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |