Langue:Français
TPS Turku v HJK Helsinki
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
TPS Turku (Local)
Prévision 21.18%4.72cote équitable
EV +16.47%
Avantage +2.99%
Kelly +3.66%
Croissance +0.602%
avec la cote maximale 5.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.96%20.92%21.31%23.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.434.405.5025.00%22.57%22.73%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
HJK Helsinki (Visiteur)
Prévision 55.11%1.81cote équitable
EV -3.56%
Avantage -2.04%
Kelly -4.75%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.32%55.31%55.02%59.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.481.651.651.7567.57%60.65%60.61%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 23.72%4.22cote équitable
EV -3.71%
Avantage -0.913%
Kelly -1.21%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.06
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.86%23.77%23.66%25.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.873.904.0630.77%25.81%25.64%24.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : TPS Turku (Local) : 21.18% ; HJK Helsinki (Visiteur) : 55.11% ; Match nul : 23.72%. Pour TPS Turku (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.72. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.50, soit une espérance positive de +16.47%.
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +16.47%E +2.99%K +3.66%G +0.602% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -13.48%E -8.59%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.43%EV +0.160%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.53%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.04%EV -4.66%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -11.83%E -7.39%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -2.59%E -0.564%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.36%EV -12.93%E -8.18%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -2.59%E -0.564%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.36%EV -12.93%E -8.18%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -2.59%E -0.564%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -13.48%E -8.59%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.92%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.95%E -0.974%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.14%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.59%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.27%EV -3.71%E -0.913%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -4.66%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -4.66%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -4.66%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.12%EV -8.31%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.43%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.73%EV -8.95%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 57.33%EV -18.44%E -12.46%K -38.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.93%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -10.00%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -10.00%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.91%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -10.00%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.91%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -10.73%E -6.62%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -10.73%E -6.62%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 20.91%EV -12.12%E -2.92%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 55.63%EV -14.03%E -9.00%K -25.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.46%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -13.18%E -3.21%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -7.42%E -4.42%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.16%EV -14.66%E -3.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.63%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.21%EV -4.66%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -15.30%E -3.82%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.91%EV -11.83%E -7.39%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.93%EV -15.30%E -3.82%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.32%EV -13.48%E -8.59%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.76%EV -22.92%E -7.05%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.31% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.31% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 1.5% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 1.5% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |