La scuola delle quoteItaliano
TPS Turku v HJK Helsinki
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
TPS Turku (Casa)
Previsione 21.18%4.72quota equa
EV +16.47%
Vantaggio +2.99%
Kelly +3.66%
Crescita +0.602%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.96%20.92%21.31%23.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.434.405.5025.00%22.57%22.73%18.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
HJK Helsinki (Trasferta)
Previsione 55.11%1.81quota equa
EV -3.56%
Vantaggio -2.04%
Kelly -4.75%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.32%55.31%55.02%59.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.651.651.7567.57%60.65%60.61%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 23.72%4.22quota equa
EV -3.71%
Vantaggio -0.913%
Kelly -1.21%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.06
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.86%23.77%23.66%25.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.873.904.0630.77%25.81%25.64%24.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +16.47%E +2.99%K +3.66%G +0.602% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -13.48%E -8.59%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Pinnacle | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.43%EV +0.160%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.53%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.04%EV -4.66%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Unibet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Casumo | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Grosvenor | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| TABtouch | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| betPARX | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -11.28%E -7.00%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -0.475%E -0.101%K -0.128%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -11.83%E -7.39%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -2.59%E -0.564%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.36%EV -12.93%E -8.18%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -2.59%E -0.564%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.36%EV -12.93%E -8.18%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| LeoVegas | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -2.59%E -0.564%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.51%EV -13.48%E -8.59%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Coolbet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.92%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.95%E -0.974%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| BetMGM | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -6.87%E -4.06%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| FanDuel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -4.71%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| GTbets | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.14%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.59%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.27%EV -3.71%E -0.913%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -4.66%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -4.66%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| BetAnything | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -4.66%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| BetUS | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.13%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| DraftKings | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Bovada | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Everygame | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -6.83%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| SportsBet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.12%EV -8.31%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.43%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.73%EV -8.95%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 57.33%EV -18.44%E -12.46%K -38.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.93%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Betsson | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -10.00%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -6.32%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Bet Right | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -10.00%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.91%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -10.00%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.91%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -7.50%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Betway | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Bet Victor | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| betfred_uk | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -7.97%E -4.77%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Neds | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -9.07%E -5.50%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -10.73%E -6.62%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Sky Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -10.73%E -6.62%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 20.91%EV -12.12%E -2.92%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 55.63%EV -14.03%E -9.00%K -25.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.46%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| PlayUp | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -13.18%E -3.21%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -7.42%E -4.42%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -11.06%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| 1xBet | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.16%EV -14.66%E -3.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.63%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.21%EV -4.66%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -15.30%E -3.82%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.91%EV -11.83%E -7.39%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -9.87%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-08 14:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.93%EV -15.30%E -3.82%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.32%EV -13.48%E -8.59%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.76%EV -22.92%E -7.05%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.31% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.31% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 1.5% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |
| Matchbook | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 1.5% | 2026-05-08 15:00 |