Language:English
KuPS Kuopio v TPS Turku
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
KuPS Kuopio (Local)
Prediction 60.01%1.67fair odd
EV -3.98%
Edge -2.49%
Kelly -6.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.37%60.03%60.05%62.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.531.531.6069.44%65.29%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
TPS Turku (Visit)
Prediction 17.65%5.67fair odd
EV +5.00%
Edge +0.841%
Kelly +1.01%
Growth +0.051%
assuming max odds 5.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.15%17.59%17.63%19.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.225.225.9521.05%19.16%19.14%16.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.34%4.48fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.387%
Kelly -0.501%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.29%22.38%22.32%23.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.094.104.4025.97%24.44%24.39%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KuPS Kuopio (Local): 60.01%; TPS Turku (Visit): 17.65%; Draw: 22.34%. For TPS Turku (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.00%EV -6.98%E -4.50%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.15%EV +5.00%E +0.841%K +1.01%G +0.051% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.84%EV -1.70%E -0.387%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 09:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.56%EV -4.58%E -2.88%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.51%EV -2.94%E -0.534%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.93%EV -1.93%E -0.439%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -6.38%E -4.09%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -2.94%E -0.534%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -3.94%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -2.94%E -0.534%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -3.94%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 11:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -2.94%E -0.534%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 10:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -2.94%E -0.534%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 09:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.18%E -3.28%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 11:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.18%E -3.28%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 11:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 11:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -8.78%E -5.78%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 09:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 09:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -5.78%E -3.68%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -7.35%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -7.35%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -7.35%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -7.35%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 09:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.98%E -2.49%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.98%E -2.49%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.98%E -2.49%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.78%E -3.68%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 11:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.78%E -3.68%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -6.38%E -4.09%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 11:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.92%EV -13.58%E -9.43%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.87%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-09 09:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.98%E -4.50%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.13%EV -9.29%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.73%EV -4.16%E -0.970%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 09:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.18%E -3.28%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 11:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -3.27%E -0.754%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 11:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.98%E -4.50%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 11:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.98%E -4.50%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 11:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 09:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -6.98%E -4.50%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -13.99%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 10:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.19%EV -11.78%E -8.02%K -25.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-09 11:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -3.98%E -2.49%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.02%EV -13.35%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.61%EV -7.73%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.29%E -3.19%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.29%E -3.19%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 09:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.29%E -3.19%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-09 11:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -16.17%E -3.41%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-09 09:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 11:55 |
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