Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

KuPS Kuopio v TPS Turku

Inicio: 2026-08-09 11:59 UTC

Final: KuPS Kuopio 1–1 TPS Turku

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Predicción 60.01%1.67momio equitativo
EV -3.98%
Ventaja -2.49%
Kelly -6.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.37%60.03%60.05%62.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.531.531.6069.44%65.29%65.36%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

TPS Turku (Visitante)

Predicción 17.65%5.67momio equitativo
EV +5.00%
Ventaja +0.841%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.051%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.15%17.59%17.63%19.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.755.225.225.9521.05%19.16%19.14%16.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 22.34%4.48momio equitativo
EV -1.70%
Ventaja -0.387%
Kelly -0.501%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.29%22.38%22.32%23.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.854.094.104.4025.97%24.44%24.39%22.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: KuPS Kuopio (Local): 60.01%; TPS Turku (Visitante): 17.65%; Empate: 22.34%. Para TPS Turku (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.67. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.95, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.00%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.00%EV -6.98%E -4.50%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.15%EV +5.00%E +0.841%K +1.01%G +0.051%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.84%EV -1.70%E -0.387%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 09:34
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.56%EV -4.58%E -2.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.51%EV -2.94%E -0.534%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.93%EV -1.93%E -0.439%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 11:55
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -6.38%E -4.09%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -2.94%E -0.534%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -3.94%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 09:30
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -2.94%E -0.534%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -3.94%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -2.94%E -0.534%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 10:05
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -2.94%E -0.534%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 09:29
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.18%E -3.28%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:54
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.18%E -3.28%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:54
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 11:14
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -8.78%E -5.78%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 09:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 09:30
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 09:30
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 09:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 09:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 09:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 09:30
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 09:30
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 09:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 09:29
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 09:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 09:30
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -5.78%E -3.68%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -7.35%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:55
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -7.35%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -7.35%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 09:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -7.35%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 09:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.98%E -2.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.98%E -2.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 11:55
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.98%E -2.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 11:55
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.78%E -3.68%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:54
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.78%E -3.68%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -6.38%E -4.09%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.92%EV -13.58%E -9.43%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.87%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-09 09:29
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.98%E -4.50%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.13%EV -9.29%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 21.73%EV -4.16%E -0.970%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 09:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.18%E -3.28%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:44
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -3.27%E -0.754%K -0.981%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 11:00
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.98%E -4.50%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 11:54
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.98%E -4.50%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 11:53
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 09:30
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 09:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 09:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 09:29
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -6.98%E -4.50%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -13.99%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 11:55
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 09:30
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 11:15
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 10:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.19%EV -11.78%E -8.02%K -25.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-09 11:45
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -3.98%E -2.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.02%EV -13.35%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.61%EV -7.73%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.29%E -3.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 09:30
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.29%E -3.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 09:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.29%E -3.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 11:44
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -16.17%E -3.41%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-09 09:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%0.5%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-08-09 11:55