Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

KuPS Kuopio v TPS Turku

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 11:59 UTC

Score final : KuPS Kuopio 1–1 TPS Turku

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Prévision 60.01%1.67cote équitable
EV -3.98%
Avantage -2.49%
Kelly -6.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.37%60.03%60.05%62.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.531.531.6069.44%65.29%65.36%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

TPS Turku (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.65%5.67cote équitable
EV +5.00%
Avantage +0.841%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.051%

avec la cote maximale 5.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.15%17.59%17.63%19.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.755.225.225.9521.05%19.16%19.14%16.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.34%4.48cote équitable
EV -1.70%
Avantage -0.387%
Kelly -0.501%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.29%22.38%22.32%23.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.094.104.4025.97%24.44%24.39%22.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : KuPS Kuopio (Local) : 60.01% ; TPS Turku (Visiteur) : 17.65% ; Match nul : 22.34%. Pour TPS Turku (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.67. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.95, soit une espérance positive de +5.00%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.00%EV -6.98%E -4.50%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.15%EV +5.00%E +0.841%K +1.01%G +0.051%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.84%EV -1.70%E -0.387%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 09:34
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.56%EV -4.58%E -2.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.51%EV -2.94%E -0.534%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.93%EV -1.93%E -0.439%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 11:55
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -6.38%E -4.09%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -2.94%E -0.534%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -3.94%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 09:30
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -2.94%E -0.534%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -3.94%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -2.94%E -0.534%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 10:05
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -2.94%E -0.534%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 09:29
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.18%E -3.28%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:54
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.18%E -3.28%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:54
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 11:14
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -8.78%E -5.78%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 09:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 09:30
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 09:30
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 09:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 09:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 09:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 09:30
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 09:30
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 09:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 09:29
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 09:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 09:30
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -5.78%E -3.68%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -7.35%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:55
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -7.35%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -7.35%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 09:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -7.35%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 09:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.98%E -2.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.98%E -2.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 11:55
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.98%E -2.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 11:55
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.78%E -3.68%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:54
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.78%E -3.68%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -6.38%E -4.09%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.92%EV -13.58%E -9.43%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.87%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-09 09:29
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.98%E -4.50%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.13%EV -9.29%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 21.73%EV -4.16%E -0.970%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 09:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.18%E -3.28%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:44
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -3.27%E -0.754%K -0.981%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 11:00
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.98%E -4.50%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 11:54
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.98%E -4.50%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 11:53
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 09:30
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 09:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 09:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 09:29
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -6.98%E -4.50%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -13.99%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 11:55
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 09:30
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 11:15
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 10:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.19%EV -11.78%E -8.02%K -25.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-09 11:45
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -3.98%E -2.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.02%EV -13.35%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.61%EV -7.73%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.29%E -3.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 09:30
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.29%E -3.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 09:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.29%E -3.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 11:44
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -16.17%E -3.41%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-09 09:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%0.5%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-08-09 11:55