Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

KuPS Kuopio v TPS Turku

Início: 2026-08-09 11:59 UTC

Final: KuPS Kuopio 1–1 TPS Turku

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Previsão 60.01%1.67odd justa
EV -3.98%
Vantagem -2.49%
Kelly -6.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.37%60.03%60.05%62.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.441.531.531.6069.44%65.29%65.36%62.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

TPS Turku (Visitante)

Previsão 17.65%5.67odd justa
EV +5.00%
Vantagem +0.841%
Kelly +1.01%
Crescimento +0.051%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.15%17.59%17.63%19.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.755.225.225.9521.05%19.16%19.14%16.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.34%4.48odd justa
EV -1.70%
Vantagem -0.387%
Kelly -0.501%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.29%22.38%22.32%23.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.854.094.104.4025.97%24.44%24.39%22.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: KuPS Kuopio (Local): 60.01%; TPS Turku (Visitante): 17.65%; Empate: 22.34%. Para TPS Turku (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.67. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.95, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.00%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.00%EV -6.98%E -4.50%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.15%EV +5.00%E +0.841%K +1.01%G +0.051%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.84%EV -1.70%E -0.387%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 09:34
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.56%EV -4.58%E -2.88%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.51%EV -2.94%E -0.534%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.93%EV -1.93%E -0.439%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 11:55
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -6.38%E -4.09%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -2.94%E -0.534%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -3.94%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 09:30
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -2.94%E -0.534%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -3.94%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -2.94%E -0.534%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 10:05
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -2.94%E -0.534%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 09:29
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.18%E -3.28%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:54
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.18%E -3.28%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:54
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 11:14
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -8.78%E -5.78%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 09:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 09:30
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 09:30
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 09:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 09:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 09:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 09:30
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 09:30
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -9.38%E -6.21%K -18.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 09:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 09:29
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 09:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -4.70%E -0.871%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 09:30
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -5.78%E -3.68%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -7.35%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:55
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -7.35%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -7.35%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 09:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -7.35%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 09:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.98%E -2.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.98%E -2.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 11:55
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.98%E -2.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 11:55
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.78%E -3.68%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:54
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.78%E -3.68%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -6.38%E -4.09%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.92%EV -13.58%E -9.43%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.87%EV -8.23%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-09 09:29
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.98%E -4.50%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.13%EV -9.29%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 21.73%EV -4.16%E -0.970%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 09:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.18%E -3.28%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:44
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -3.27%E -0.754%K -0.981%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 11:00
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.98%E -4.50%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 11:54
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.98%E -4.50%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 11:53
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 09:30
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 09:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 09:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 09:29
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -6.98%E -4.50%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -13.99%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 11:55
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 09:30
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 11:15
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 10:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.19%EV -11.78%E -8.02%K -25.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -11.76%E -2.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-09 11:45
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -3.98%E -2.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.02%EV -13.35%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.61%EV -7.73%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.29%E -3.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 09:30
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.18%E -5.35%K -15.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.29%E -3.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 09:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.29%E -3.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 11:44
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -9.98%E -6.65%K -19.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -16.17%E -3.41%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-09 09:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.03%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%0.5%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-08-09 11:55