Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

KuPS Kuopio v IFK Mariehamn

2026-08-23 12:00 UTC — Veikkausliiga - Finland

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Prediction 75.43%1.33fair odd
EV -5.72%
Edge -4.57%
Kelly -22.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.59%75.07%75.38%78.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.211.221.2586.96%82.49%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IFK Mariehamn (Visit)

Prediction 9.27%10.79fair odd
EV +15.86%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +1.38%
Growth +0.219%

assuming max odds 12.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.38%9.39%9.58%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.509.919.5012.5013.33%10.09%10.53%8.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 15.31%6.53fair odd
EV +1.47%
Edge +0.222%
Kelly +0.262%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 6.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.00%15.54%15.04%17.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.685.406.6320.00%17.60%18.52%15.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: KuPS Kuopio (Local): 75.43%; IFK Mariehamn (Visit): 9.27%; Draw: 15.31%. For IFK Mariehamn (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.79. 9 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 12.50, producing a positive expected value of +15.86%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.04%EV -7.23%E -5.88%K -31.42%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.38%EV +15.86%E +1.27%K +1.38%G +0.219%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -19.65%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 14:15
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.04%EV -7.23%E -5.88%K -31.42%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.38%EV +15.86%E +1.27%K +1.38%G +0.219%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -19.65%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 14:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.70%EV -9.49%E -7.91%K -47.45%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.61%EV +13.54%E +1.11%K +1.20%G +0.163%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.68%EV -2.81%E -0.443%K -0.525%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 14:24
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.44%EV -8.73%E -7.22%K -41.59%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV +11.23%E +0.936%K +1.02%G +0.115%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.76%EV -2.81%E -0.443%K -0.525%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 14:24
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -11.75%E -10.04%K -69.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV +11.23%E +0.936%K +1.02%G +0.115%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -0.515%E -0.079%K -0.094%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 14:29
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -11.75%E -10.04%K -69.13%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV +11.23%E +0.936%K +1.02%G +0.115%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -0.515%E -0.079%K -0.094%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 14:34
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.49%E -7.91%K -47.45%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +1.96%E +0.178%K +0.196%G +0.004%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -8.17%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 14:30
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -11.75%E -10.04%K -69.13%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV +1.96%E +0.178%K +0.196%G +0.004%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -8.17%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-16 14:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 77.15%EV -13.26%E -11.53%K -88.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.07%EV +1.96%E +0.178%K +0.196%G +0.004%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -8.17%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 14:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.98%E -6.54%K -36.28%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -7.31%E -0.731%K -0.812%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -8.17%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -11.00%E -9.32%K -61.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -7.31%E -0.731%K -0.812%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -8.17%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 14:30
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -6.47%E -5.22%K -26.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -11.95%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -17.35%E -3.21%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -6.47%E -5.22%K -26.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -11.95%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -17.35%E -3.21%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -6.47%E -5.22%K -26.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -11.95%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -17.35%E -3.21%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:05
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -6.47%E -5.22%K -26.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -11.95%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -17.35%E -3.21%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:04
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -6.47%E -5.22%K -26.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -11.95%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -17.35%E -3.21%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:04
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -6.47%E -5.22%K -26.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -11.95%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -17.35%E -3.21%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -6.47%E -5.22%K -26.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -11.95%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -17.35%E -3.21%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:05
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -6.47%E -5.22%K -26.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -11.95%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -17.35%E -3.21%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -6.47%E -5.22%K -26.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -11.95%E -1.26%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -17.35%E -3.21%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:04
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.65%EV -6.47%E -5.22%K -26.97%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.20%EV -14.73%E -1.60%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.63I 15.08%NM 14.15%EV +1.47%E +0.222%K +0.262%G +0.004%6.6%2026-08-16 14:30
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -9.49%E -7.91%K -47.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -16.58%E -1.84%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.17%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.22%EV -7.98%E -6.54%K -36.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -16.58%E -1.84%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.85%EV -18.88%E -3.56%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 12:04
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.22%EV -7.98%E -6.54%K -36.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -16.58%E -1.84%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.85%EV -18.88%E -3.56%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 12:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.38%EV -8.73%E -7.22%K -41.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -16.58%E -1.84%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.75%EV -18.88%E -3.56%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-16 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.38%EV -8.73%E -7.22%K -41.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -16.58%E -1.84%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.75%EV -18.88%E -3.56%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-16 12:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 73.56%EV -11.75%E -10.04%K -69.13%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.56%EV -16.58%E -1.84%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.88%EV -21.94%E -4.30%K -5.35%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-16 12:05
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 74.05%EV -11.75%E -10.04%K -69.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.19%EV -21.21%E -2.50%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -15.82%E -2.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-16 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 73.58%EV -11.00%E -9.32%K -61.10%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.34%EV -22.14%E -2.64%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.08%EV -17.35%E -3.21%K -3.94%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-16 14:24
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.62%EV -7.98%E -6.54%K -36.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -25.85%E -3.23%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -0.515%E -0.079%K -0.094%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 14:25
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -5.72%E -4.57%K -22.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -30.48%E -4.06%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -23.47%E -4.69%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-16 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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