Language:English
KuPS Kuopio v IFK Mariehamn
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
KuPS Kuopio (Local)
Prediction 70.28%1.42fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -2.72%
Kelly -10.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.29%70.27%70.34%73.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.301.311.3784.03%76.88%76.63%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IFK Mariehamn (Visit)
Prediction 12.22%8.18fair odd
EV +3.91%
Edge +0.460%
Kelly +0.521%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 8.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.48%12.27%12.23%14.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.687.508.5015.38%13.01%13.33%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.50%5.71fair odd
EV +11.13%
Edge +1.75%
Kelly +2.08%
Growth +0.231%
assuming max odds 6.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.12%17.45%17.43%19.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.185.206.3521.74%19.31%19.23%15.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KuPS Kuopio (Local): 70.28%; IFK Mariehamn (Visit): 12.22%; Draw: 17.50%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.71. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.31%EV -7.94%E -6.06%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.57%EV +1.46%E +0.176%K +0.200%G +0.003% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.12%EV +11.13%E +1.75%K +2.08%G +0.231% | 4.1% | 2026-08-23 08:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.96%EV -3.72%E -2.72%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.40%EV -12.59%E -1.76%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV +0.801%E +0.139%K +0.168%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.10%EV -5.83%E -4.35%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV -0.249%E -0.044%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.10%EV -5.83%E -4.35%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV -0.249%E -0.044%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.10%EV -5.83%E -4.35%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV -0.249%E -0.044%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.10%EV -5.83%E -4.35%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV -0.249%E -0.044%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 11:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -5.13%E -3.80%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -3.75%E -0.682%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -10.75%E -8.46%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -3.75%E -0.682%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -20.54%E -3.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -3.75%E -0.682%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -7.94%E -6.06%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.52%EV -0.982%E -0.121%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -5.50%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.32%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000% | 8.08I 12.38%NM 11.48%EV -1.23%E -0.152%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 5.39I 18.55%NM 17.20%EV -5.67%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 11:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 08:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 08:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 08:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 08:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 08:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 08:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 08:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 08:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.12%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.12%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.48%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.75%EV -11.37%E -1.57%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.77%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 11:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -9.34%E -7.24%K -32.22%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.24%EV -12.86%E -10.37%K -53.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-23 08:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.24%EV -12.86%E -10.37%K -53.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-23 08:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.27%EV -10.75%E -8.46%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.57%EV -13.21%E -1.86%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.16%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 11:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.40%EV -13.56%E -11.03%K -58.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 08:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.40%EV -13.56%E -11.03%K -58.96%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 08:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.23%EV -5.13%E -3.80%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.30%EV -7.09%E -0.933%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.47%EV -11.45%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -5.13%E -3.80%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -5.26%E -0.679%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 11:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 11:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 11:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 11:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.14%EV -7.94%E -6.06%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.14%EV -7.94%E -6.06%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 11:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 11:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -20.54%E -3.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 11:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.16%E -9.72%K -48.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.16%E -9.72%K -48.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 72.11%EV -16.37%E -13.76%K -86.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.73%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.16%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-08-23 08:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -14.25%E -2.91%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.29%EV -5.13%E -3.80%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -20.54%E -3.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.73%EV -15.12%E -3.12%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.04%EV -4.43%E -3.25%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.68%EV -10.76%E -1.47%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -16.00%E -3.33%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 11:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.04%EV -4.43%E -3.25%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.68%EV -10.76%E -1.47%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -16.00%E -3.33%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 11:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.82%EV -9.34%E -7.24%K -32.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -16.00%E -3.33%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -19.50%E -4.24%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -19.50%E -4.24%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -19.50%E -4.24%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -19.50%E -4.24%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.57% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85% | 0.6% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.41% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.41% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.41% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |