StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

KuPS Kuopio v IFK Mariehamn

Matchstart: 2026-08-23 11:59 UTC

Slutresultat: KuPS Kuopio 2–4 IFK Mariehamn

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

KuPS Kuopio (Hemma)

Prognos 70.28%1.42rättvist odds
EV -3.72%
Fördel -2.72%
Kelly -10.06%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.37

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
67.29%70.27%70.34%73.31%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.191.301.311.3784.03%76.88%76.63%72.99%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

IFK Mariehamn (Borta)

Prognos 12.22%8.18rättvist odds
EV +3.91%
Fördel +0.460%
Kelly +0.521%
Tillväxt +0.020%

med antagandet om högsta odds 8.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
10.48%12.27%12.23%14.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
6.507.687.508.5015.38%13.01%13.33%11.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 17.50%5.71rättvist odds
EV +11.13%
Fördel +1.75%
Kelly +2.08%
Tillväxt +0.231%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.12%17.45%17.43%19.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.605.185.206.3521.74%19.31%19.23%15.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: KuPS Kuopio (Hemma): 70.28%; IFK Mariehamn (Borta): 12.22%; Oavgjort: 17.50%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.71. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.35, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +11.13%.

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.31%EV -7.94%E -6.06%K -25.61%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.57%EV +1.46%E +0.176%K +0.200%G +0.003%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.12%EV +11.13%E +1.75%K +2.08%G +0.231%4.1%2026-08-23 08:30
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.96%EV -3.72%E -2.72%K -10.06%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.40%EV -12.59%E -1.76%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV +0.801%E +0.139%K +0.168%G +0.001%4.3%2026-08-23 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.10%EV -5.83%E -4.35%K -17.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV -0.249%E -0.044%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.10%EV -5.83%E -4.35%K -17.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV -0.249%E -0.044%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 11:55
BetAnything🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.10%EV -5.83%E -4.35%K -17.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV -0.249%E -0.044%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 11:55
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.10%EV -5.83%E -4.35%K -17.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV -0.249%E -0.044%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 11:54
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -5.13%E -3.80%K -14.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -3.75%E -0.682%K -0.833%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -10.75%E -8.46%K -39.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -3.75%E -0.682%K -0.833%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 11:55
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -20.54%E -3.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -3.75%E -0.682%K -0.833%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -7.94%E -6.06%K -25.61%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.52%EV -0.982%E -0.121%K -0.138%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -5.50%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 11:55
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.32%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000%8.08I 12.38%NM 11.48%EV -1.23%E -0.152%K -0.173%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.20%EV -5.67%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 11:10
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 11:55
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:25
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:25
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:25
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:30
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.12%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 11:20
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.12%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 11:55
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.48%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.75%EV -11.37%E -1.57%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.77%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 11:53
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -9.34%E -7.24%K -32.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.24%EV -12.86%E -10.37%K -53.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-23 08:25
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.24%EV -12.86%E -10.37%K -53.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-23 08:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.27%EV -10.75%E -8.46%K -39.82%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.57%EV -13.21%E -1.86%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.16%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.40%EV -13.56%E -11.03%K -58.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 08:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.40%EV -13.56%E -11.03%K -58.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 08:25
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.23%EV -5.13%E -3.80%K -14.65%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.30%EV -7.09%E -0.933%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.47%EV -11.45%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 11:55
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -5.13%E -3.80%K -14.65%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -5.26%E -0.679%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 11:54
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 11:40
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 11:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 11:40
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.14%EV -7.94%E -6.06%K -25.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.14%EV -7.94%E -6.06%K -25.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 11:55
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 11:54
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 11:54
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 11:55
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -20.54%E -3.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 11:54
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.16%E -9.72%K -48.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-23 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.16%E -9.72%K -48.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-23 11:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 72.11%EV -16.37%E -13.76%K -86.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.73%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.16%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-23 08:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -14.25%E -2.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 11:55
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.29%EV -5.13%E -3.80%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -20.54%E -3.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.73%EV -15.12%E -3.12%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 11:55
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.04%EV -4.43%E -3.25%K -12.29%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.68%EV -10.76%E -1.47%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -16.00%E -3.33%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 11:29
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.04%EV -4.43%E -3.25%K -12.29%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.68%EV -10.76%E -1.47%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -16.00%E -3.33%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 11:10
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.82%EV -9.34%E -7.24%K -32.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -16.00%E -3.33%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -19.50%E -4.24%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -19.50%E -4.24%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 11:55
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -19.50%E -4.24%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 11:55
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -19.50%E -4.24%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 11:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.57%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85%0.6%2026-08-23 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%0.8%2026-08-23 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%0.8%2026-08-23 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%0.8%2026-08-23 11:55