Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

KuPS Kuopio v IFK Mariehamn

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 11:59 UTC

Score final : KuPS Kuopio 2–4 IFK Mariehamn

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Prévision 70.28%1.42cote équitable
EV -3.72%
Avantage -2.72%
Kelly -10.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.29%70.27%70.34%73.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.191.301.311.3784.03%76.88%76.63%72.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

IFK Mariehamn (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.22%8.18cote équitable
EV +3.91%
Avantage +0.460%
Kelly +0.521%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 8.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.48%12.27%12.23%14.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.507.687.508.5015.38%13.01%13.33%11.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 17.50%5.71cote équitable
EV +11.13%
Avantage +1.75%
Kelly +2.08%
Croissance +0.231%

avec la cote maximale 6.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.12%17.45%17.43%19.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.185.206.3521.74%19.31%19.23%15.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : KuPS Kuopio (Local) : 70.28% ; IFK Mariehamn (Visiteur) : 12.22% ; Match nul : 17.50%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.71. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.35, soit une espérance positive de +11.13%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.31%EV -7.94%E -6.06%K -25.61%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.57%EV +1.46%E +0.176%K +0.200%G +0.003%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.12%EV +11.13%E +1.75%K +2.08%G +0.231%4.1%2026-08-23 08:30
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.96%EV -3.72%E -2.72%K -10.06%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.40%EV -12.59%E -1.76%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV +0.801%E +0.139%K +0.168%G +0.001%4.3%2026-08-23 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.10%EV -5.83%E -4.35%K -17.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV -0.249%E -0.044%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.10%EV -5.83%E -4.35%K -17.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV -0.249%E -0.044%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 11:55
BetAnything🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.10%EV -5.83%E -4.35%K -17.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV -0.249%E -0.044%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 11:55
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.10%EV -5.83%E -4.35%K -17.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV -0.249%E -0.044%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 11:54
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -5.13%E -3.80%K -14.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -3.75%E -0.682%K -0.833%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -10.75%E -8.46%K -39.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -3.75%E -0.682%K -0.833%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 11:55
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -20.54%E -3.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -3.75%E -0.682%K -0.833%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -7.94%E -6.06%K -25.61%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.52%EV -0.982%E -0.121%K -0.138%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -5.50%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 11:55
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.32%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000%8.08I 12.38%NM 11.48%EV -1.23%E -0.152%K -0.173%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.20%EV -5.67%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 11:10
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 11:55
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:25
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:25
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:25
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:30
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.12%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 11:20
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.12%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 11:55
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.48%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.75%EV -11.37%E -1.57%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.77%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 11:53
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -9.34%E -7.24%K -32.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.24%EV -12.86%E -10.37%K -53.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-23 08:25
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.24%EV -12.86%E -10.37%K -53.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-23 08:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.27%EV -10.75%E -8.46%K -39.82%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.57%EV -13.21%E -1.86%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.16%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.40%EV -13.56%E -11.03%K -58.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 08:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.40%EV -13.56%E -11.03%K -58.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 08:25
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.23%EV -5.13%E -3.80%K -14.65%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.30%EV -7.09%E -0.933%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.47%EV -11.45%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 11:55
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -5.13%E -3.80%K -14.65%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -5.26%E -0.679%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 11:54
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 11:40
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 11:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 11:40
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.14%EV -7.94%E -6.06%K -25.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.14%EV -7.94%E -6.06%K -25.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 11:55
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 11:54
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 11:54
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 11:55
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -20.54%E -3.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 11:54
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.16%E -9.72%K -48.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-23 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.16%E -9.72%K -48.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-23 11:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 72.11%EV -16.37%E -13.76%K -86.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.73%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.16%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-23 08:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -14.25%E -2.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 11:55
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.29%EV -5.13%E -3.80%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -20.54%E -3.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.73%EV -15.12%E -3.12%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 11:55
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.04%EV -4.43%E -3.25%K -12.29%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.68%EV -10.76%E -1.47%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -16.00%E -3.33%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 11:29
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.04%EV -4.43%E -3.25%K -12.29%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.68%EV -10.76%E -1.47%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -16.00%E -3.33%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 11:10
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.82%EV -9.34%E -7.24%K -32.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -16.00%E -3.33%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -19.50%E -4.24%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -19.50%E -4.24%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 11:55
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -19.50%E -4.24%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 11:55
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -19.50%E -4.24%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 11:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.57%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85%0.6%2026-08-23 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%0.8%2026-08-23 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%0.8%2026-08-23 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%0.8%2026-08-23 11:55