Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

KuPS Kuopio v IFK Mariehamn

Início: 2026-08-23 11:59 UTC

Final: KuPS Kuopio 2–4 IFK Mariehamn

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Previsão 70.28%1.42odd justa
EV -3.72%
Vantagem -2.72%
Kelly -10.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.29%70.27%70.34%73.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.191.301.311.3784.03%76.88%76.63%72.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

IFK Mariehamn (Visitante)

Previsão 12.22%8.18odd justa
EV +3.91%
Vantagem +0.460%
Kelly +0.521%
Crescimento +0.020%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.48%12.27%12.23%14.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.507.687.508.5015.38%13.01%13.33%11.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 17.50%5.71odd justa
EV +11.13%
Vantagem +1.75%
Kelly +2.08%
Crescimento +0.231%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.12%17.45%17.43%19.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.605.185.206.3521.74%19.31%19.23%15.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: KuPS Kuopio (Local): 70.28%; IFK Mariehamn (Visitante): 12.22%; Empate: 17.50%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.71. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.35, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +11.13%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.31%EV -7.94%E -6.06%K -25.61%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.57%EV +1.46%E +0.176%K +0.200%G +0.003%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.12%EV +11.13%E +1.75%K +2.08%G +0.231%4.1%2026-08-23 08:30
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.96%EV -3.72%E -2.72%K -10.06%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.40%EV -12.59%E -1.76%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV +0.801%E +0.139%K +0.168%G +0.001%4.3%2026-08-23 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.10%EV -5.83%E -4.35%K -17.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV -0.249%E -0.044%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.10%EV -5.83%E -4.35%K -17.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV -0.249%E -0.044%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 11:55
BetAnything🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.10%EV -5.83%E -4.35%K -17.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV -0.249%E -0.044%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 11:55
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.10%EV -5.83%E -4.35%K -17.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV -0.249%E -0.044%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 11:54
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -5.13%E -3.80%K -14.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -3.75%E -0.682%K -0.833%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -10.75%E -8.46%K -39.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -3.75%E -0.682%K -0.833%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 11:55
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -20.54%E -3.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -3.75%E -0.682%K -0.833%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -7.94%E -6.06%K -25.61%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.52%EV -0.982%E -0.121%K -0.138%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -5.50%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 11:55
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.32%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000%8.08I 12.38%NM 11.48%EV -1.23%E -0.152%K -0.173%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.20%EV -5.67%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 11:10
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.42%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 11:55
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:25
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:25
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:25
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:30
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -11.45%E -9.09%K -44.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -7.25%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 08:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.12%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 11:20
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.12%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 11:55
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.48%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.75%EV -11.37%E -1.57%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.77%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 11:53
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -9.34%E -7.24%K -32.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.24%EV -12.86%E -10.37%K -53.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-23 08:25
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.24%EV -12.86%E -10.37%K -53.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-23 08:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.27%EV -10.75%E -8.46%K -39.82%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.57%EV -13.21%E -1.86%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.16%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.40%EV -13.56%E -11.03%K -58.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 08:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.40%EV -13.56%E -11.03%K -58.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV +3.91%E +0.460%K +0.521%G +0.020%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -9.00%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 08:25
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.23%EV -5.13%E -3.80%K -14.65%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.30%EV -7.09%E -0.933%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.47%EV -11.45%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 11:55
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -5.13%E -3.80%K -14.65%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -5.26%E -0.679%K -0.779%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 11:54
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 11:40
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 11:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 11:40
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.14%EV -7.94%E -6.06%K -25.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.14%EV -7.94%E -6.06%K -25.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 11:55
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 11:54
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 11:54
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 11:55
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -20.54%E -3.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 11:54
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.16%E -9.72%K -48.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-23 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.16%E -9.72%K -48.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-23 11:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 72.11%EV -16.37%E -13.76%K -86.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.73%EV -2.20%E -0.276%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.16%EV -12.50%E -2.50%K -3.12%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-23 08:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -8.64%E -6.65%K -28.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -8.32%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -14.25%E -2.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 11:55
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.29%EV -5.13%E -3.80%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -20.54%E -3.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.73%EV -15.12%E -3.12%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 11:55
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.04%EV -4.43%E -3.25%K -12.29%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.68%EV -10.76%E -1.47%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -16.00%E -3.33%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 11:29
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.04%EV -4.43%E -3.25%K -12.29%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.68%EV -10.76%E -1.47%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -16.00%E -3.33%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 11:10
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.82%EV -9.34%E -7.24%K -32.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -16.00%E -3.33%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -19.50%E -4.24%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -19.50%E -4.24%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 11:55
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -19.50%E -4.24%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 11:55
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -14.43%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -19.50%E -4.24%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 11:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.57%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85%0.6%2026-08-23 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%0.8%2026-08-23 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%0.8%2026-08-23 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%0.8%2026-08-23 11:55