Language:English
Jaro v TPS Turku
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jaro (Local)
Prediction 43.21%2.31fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.49%43.12%43.21%43.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.2650.00%46.59%46.51%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
TPS Turku (Visit)
Prediction 29.29%3.41fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.297%
Kelly -0.421%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.62%29.37%29.26%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.093.053.3834.72%32.38%32.79%29.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.50%3.64fair odd
EV +1.76%
Edge +0.475%
Kelly +0.651%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.29%27.51%27.53%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.323.303.7034.72%30.12%30.30%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaro (Local): 43.21%; TPS Turku (Visit): 29.29%; Draw: 27.50%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV +1.76%E +0.475%K +0.651%G +0.011% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.51%EV -2.35%E -1.04%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.80%EV -8.62%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -0.993%E -0.276%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.58%EV -4.08%E -1.84%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.62%EV -1.00%E -0.297%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.80%EV -4.29%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.73%EV -2.78%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.40%EV -4.22%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-02 10:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 11:06 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 05:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:16 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 12:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:16 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -3.35%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -3.35%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -3.35%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -5.80%E -2.66%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -5.80%E -2.66%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -5.10%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-02 12:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -13.58%E -6.79%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -13.60%E -4.61%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-02 13:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -5.80%E -2.66%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -5.80%E -2.66%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -5.80%E -2.66%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 09:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-02 13:21 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -13.58%E -6.79%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-02 13:16 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -15.06%E -5.19%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -13.37%E -4.24%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -13.58%E -6.79%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -15.65%E -5.43%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -20.79%E -7.22%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |