La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Jaro v TPS Turku
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jaro (Local)
Predicción 43.21%2.31momio equitativo
EV -2.35%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -1.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.49%43.12%43.21%43.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.2650.00%46.59%46.51%44.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
TPS Turku (Visitante)
Predicción 29.29%3.41momio equitativo
EV -1.00%
Ventaja -0.297%
Kelly -0.421%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.62%29.37%29.26%31.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.093.053.3834.72%32.38%32.79%29.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.50%3.64momio equitativo
EV +1.76%
Ventaja +0.475%
Kelly +0.651%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.29%27.51%27.53%29.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.323.303.7034.72%30.12%30.30%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV +1.76%E +0.475%K +0.651%G +0.011% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| GTbets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.51%EV -2.35%E -1.04%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.80%EV -8.62%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -0.993%E -0.276%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.58%EV -4.08%E -1.84%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.62%EV -1.00%E -0.297%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.80%EV -4.29%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.73%EV -2.78%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.40%EV -4.22%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-02 10:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 11:06 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 05:45 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 13:16 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 12:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:16 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -3.35%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -3.35%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| BetAnything | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -3.35%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -5.80%E -2.66%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -5.80%E -2.66%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -5.10%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Casumo | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| betPARX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:10 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-02 12:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -13.58%E -6.79%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -13.60%E -4.61%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-02 13:34 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -5.80%E -2.66%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -5.80%E -2.66%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -5.80%E -2.66%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 09:04 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-02 13:21 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -13.58%E -6.79%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-02 13:05 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 12:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 13:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-02 13:16 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -15.06%E -5.19%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -13.37%E -4.24%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -13.58%E -6.79%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -15.65%E -5.43%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -20.79%E -7.22%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |