La scuola delle quote

Jaro v TPS Turku

Inizio: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Finale: Jaro 2–2 TPS Turku

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jaro (Casa)

Previsione 43.21%2.31quota equa
EV -2.35%
Vantaggio -1.04%
Kelly -1.86%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.49%43.12%43.21%43.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.152.152.2650.00%46.59%46.51%44.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

TPS Turku (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.29%3.41quota equa
EV -1.00%
Vantaggio -0.297%
Kelly -0.421%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.62%29.37%29.26%31.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.093.053.3834.72%32.38%32.79%29.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.50%3.64quota equa
EV +1.76%
Vantaggio +0.475%
Kelly +0.651%
Crescita +0.011%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.29%27.51%27.53%29.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.323.303.7034.72%30.12%30.30%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV +1.76%E +0.475%K +0.651%G +0.011%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
GTbets2.26I 44.25%NM 42.51%EV -2.35%E -1.04%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.80%EV -8.62%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -0.993%E -0.276%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.58%EV -4.08%E -1.84%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.62%EV -1.00%E -0.297%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.80%EV -4.29%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 13:30
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.73%EV -2.78%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.40%EV -4.22%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 10:19
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 11:06
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 05:45
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:54
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:05
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:16
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 11:10
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 12:44
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 11:05
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:16
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:39
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -3.35%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:56
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -3.35%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:56
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -3.35%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -5.80%E -2.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:00
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -5.80%E -2.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:00
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -5.10%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 09:05
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 09:05
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 09:05
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 09:05
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 09:05
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 09:05
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 09:05
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 09:05
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 09:05
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:00
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:10
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:10
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:56
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:55
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:56
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 11:10
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 12:45
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -13.58%E -6.79%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -13.60%E -4.61%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-02 13:34
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 09:05
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -5.80%E -2.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 09:05
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -5.80%E -2.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 09:05
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -5.80%E -2.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 09:04
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-02 13:20
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-02 13:21
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-02 13:20
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -13.58%E -6.79%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-02 13:05
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 12:55
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 13:00
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-02 13:16
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -15.06%E -5.19%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -13.37%E -4.24%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-02 09:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -13.58%E -6.79%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -15.65%E -5.43%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -20.79%E -7.22%K -11.06%G +0.000%19.4%2026-05-02 13:56
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-05-02 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-05-02 13:50