L’École des cotes

Jaro v TPS Turku

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Score final : Jaro 2–2 TPS Turku

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jaro (Local)

Prévision 43.21%2.31cote équitable
EV -2.35%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -1.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.49%43.12%43.21%43.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.152.152.2650.00%46.59%46.51%44.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

TPS Turku (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.29%3.41cote équitable
EV -1.00%
Avantage -0.297%
Kelly -0.421%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.62%29.37%29.26%31.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.093.053.3834.72%32.38%32.79%29.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.50%3.64cote équitable
EV +1.76%
Avantage +0.475%
Kelly +0.651%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.29%27.51%27.53%29.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.323.303.7034.72%30.12%30.30%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV +1.76%E +0.475%K +0.651%G +0.011%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
GTbets2.26I 44.25%NM 42.51%EV -2.35%E -1.04%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.80%EV -8.62%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -0.993%E -0.276%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.58%EV -4.08%E -1.84%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.62%EV -1.00%E -0.297%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.80%EV -4.29%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 13:30
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.73%EV -2.78%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.40%EV -4.22%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 10:19
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 11:06
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 05:45
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.12%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:54
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:05
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:16
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 11:10
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 12:44
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 11:05
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:16
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:39
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -3.35%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:56
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -3.35%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:56
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -3.35%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -5.80%E -2.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:00
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -5.80%E -2.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.28%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:00
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -5.10%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.87%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 09:05
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 09:05
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 09:05
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 09:05
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 09:05
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 09:05
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 09:05
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 09:05
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 09:05
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:00
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.10%E -3.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:10
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:10
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:56
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:55
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 13:56
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 11:10
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 12:45
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -13.58%E -6.79%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -13.60%E -4.61%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-02 13:34
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -4.94%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 09:05
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -5.80%E -2.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 09:05
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -5.80%E -2.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 09:05
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -5.80%E -2.66%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 09:04
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-02 13:20
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-02 13:21
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-02 13:20
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -13.58%E -6.79%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.62%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-02 13:05
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 12:55
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -8.40%E -3.96%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 13:00
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.42%E -5.57%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-02 13:16
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -9.26%E -4.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -15.06%E -5.19%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -13.37%E -4.24%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-02 09:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -13.58%E -6.79%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -15.65%E -5.43%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -20.79%E -7.22%K -11.06%G +0.000%19.4%2026-05-02 13:56
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-05-02 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-05-02 13:50