Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 5.49
assuming max odds 1.61
assuming max odds 4.45
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaro (Local): 18.03%; KuPS Kuopio (Visit): 59.57%; Draw: 22.40%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.45, with an expected value of -0.316%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.53%EV -1.03%E -0.187%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.54%EV -5.28%E -3.32%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.93%EV -1.66%E -0.378%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -7.04%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -7.04%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -9.45%E -6.22%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 07:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -10.05%E -6.65%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 07:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -10.05%E -6.65%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 07:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -10.05%E -6.65%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 07:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -10.05%E -6.65%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 07:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -10.05%E -6.65%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 07:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -10.64%E -7.10%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 07:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -10.64%E -7.10%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 07:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -4.45%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -7.07%E -4.53%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 12:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -4.45%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.64%E -7.10%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-17 07:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -4.45%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.64%E -7.10%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-17 07:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -4.45%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.64%E -7.10%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-17 07:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.31%EV -5.35%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.08%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV -0.316%E -0.071%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 06:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -5.35%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -5.35%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -6.26%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.37%EV -5.28%E -3.32%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -6.26%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.37%EV -5.28%E -3.32%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -6.26%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -7.07%E -4.53%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.26%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.87%EV -6.26%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.92%EV -14.22%E -9.87%K -32.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21%EV -11.52%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-17 07:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.02%EV -7.16%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.50%EV -7.07%E -4.53%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.48%EV -7.48%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 06:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.35%EV -7.88%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.33%EV -5.88%E -3.72%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -4.09%E -2.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.94%EV -5.28%E -3.32%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 12:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.94%EV -5.28%E -3.32%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 12:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.94%EV -5.28%E -3.32%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 12:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 06:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -7.07%E -4.53%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 12:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -9.45%E -6.22%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.64%E -7.10%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 12:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -16.00%E -4.27%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 12:48 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -12.56%E -2.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -13.47%E -2.81%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -13.47%E -2.81%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -13.47%E -2.81%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 12:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -14.37%E -3.02%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -17.07%E -3.71%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -17.07%E -3.71%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-18 06:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -17.07%E -3.71%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -17.07%E -3.71%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-18 06:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 18.93%EV -17.97%E -3.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 57.80%EV -11.24%E -7.54%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.28%EV -17.12%E -4.63%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.35%EV -18.87%E -4.19%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 57.35%EV -14.22%E -9.87%K -32.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.29%EV -23.84%E -7.01%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |