La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Jaro v KuPS Kuopio
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jaro (Local)
Predicción 18.03%5.55momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.187%
Kelly -0.229%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.87%18.06%18.05%19.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.095.155.4922.22%19.65%19.42%18.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
KuPS Kuopio (Visitante)
Predicción 59.57%1.68momio equitativo
EV -4.09%
Ventaja -2.54%
Kelly -6.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.35%59.53%59.56%60.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.541.531.6169.44%65.00%65.36%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.40%4.46momio equitativo
EV -0.316%
Ventaja -0.071%
Kelly -0.092%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.60%22.41%22.39%24.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.064.104.4529.41%24.65%24.39%22.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.53%EV -1.03%E -0.187%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.54%EV -5.28%E -3.32%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.93%EV -1.66%E -0.378%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| NordicBet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -7.04%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Betsson | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -7.04%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Unibet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -9.45%E -6.22%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 07:54 |
| TABtouch | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -10.05%E -6.65%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 07:54 |
| Grosvenor | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -10.05%E -6.65%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 07:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -10.05%E -6.65%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 07:54 |
| Casumo | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -10.05%E -6.65%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 07:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -10.05%E -6.65%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 07:54 |
| BetRivers | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -10.64%E -7.10%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 07:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -10.64%E -7.10%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 07:53 |
| FanDuel | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -4.45%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -7.07%E -4.53%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 12:10 |
| LeoVegas | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -4.45%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.64%E -7.10%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-17 07:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -4.45%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.64%E -7.10%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-17 07:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -4.45%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.64%E -7.10%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-17 07:54 |
| Coolbet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.31%EV -5.35%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.08%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV -0.316%E -0.071%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 06:20 |
| Bet Right | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -5.35%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Bet Victor | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -5.35%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -6.26%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.37%EV -5.28%E -3.32%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -6.26%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.37%EV -5.28%E -3.32%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -6.26%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -7.07%E -4.53%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.26%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 12:01 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.87%EV -6.26%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.92%EV -14.22%E -9.87%K -32.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21%EV -11.52%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-17 07:55 |
| GTbets | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.02%EV -7.16%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.50%EV -7.07%E -4.53%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.48%EV -7.48%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 06:10 |
| 1xBet | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.35%EV -7.88%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.33%EV -5.88%E -3.72%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| DraftKings | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -4.09%E -2.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Bovada | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.94%EV -5.28%E -3.32%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 12:08 |
| BetUS | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.94%EV -5.28%E -3.32%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 12:10 |
| BetAnything | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.94%EV -5.28%E -3.32%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 12:10 |
| BetMGM | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 06:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -7.07%E -4.53%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 12:09 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -9.45%E -6.22%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.64%E -7.10%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 12:09 |
| betfred_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -16.00%E -4.27%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 12:48 |
| PlayUp | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -12.56%E -2.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| 888sport | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -13.47%E -2.81%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| William Hill | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -13.47%E -2.81%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Sky Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -13.47%E -2.81%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 12:09 |
| Betway | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -14.37%E -3.02%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Coral | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -17.07%E -3.71%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -17.07%E -3.71%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-18 06:04 |
| Neds | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -17.07%E -3.71%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -17.07%E -3.71%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-18 06:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.55I 21.98%NM 18.93%EV -17.97%E -3.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 57.80%EV -11.24%E -7.54%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.28%EV -17.12%E -4.63%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.35%EV -18.87%E -4.19%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 57.35%EV -14.22%E -9.87%K -32.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.29%EV -23.84%E -7.01%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-04-18 06:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |
| Matchbook | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-18 12:50 |