Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jaro v KuPS Kuopio

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC

Score final : Jaro 1–1 KuPS Kuopio

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jaro (Local)

Prévision 18.03%5.55cote équitable
EV -1.03%
Avantage -0.187%
Kelly -0.229%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.87%18.06%18.05%19.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.095.155.4922.22%19.65%19.42%18.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

KuPS Kuopio (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.57%1.68cote équitable
EV -4.09%
Avantage -2.54%
Kelly -6.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.35%59.53%59.56%60.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.541.531.6169.44%65.00%65.36%62.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.40%4.46cote équitable
EV -0.316%
Avantage -0.071%
Kelly -0.092%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.60%22.41%22.39%24.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.404.064.104.4529.41%24.65%24.39%22.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jaro (Local) : 18.03% ; KuPS Kuopio (Visiteur) : 59.57% ; Match nul : 22.40%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.46. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.45, pour une espérance de -0.316% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯5.49I 18.21%NM 17.53%EV -1.03%E -0.187%K -0.229%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.54%EV -5.28%E -3.32%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.93%EV -1.66%E -0.378%K -0.490%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 12:50
NordicBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -7.04%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 12:50
Betsson🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -7.04%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 12:50
Unibet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.04%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -9.45%E -6.22%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 07:54
TABtouch🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -10.05%E -6.65%K -19.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 07:54
Grosvenor🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -10.05%E -6.65%K -19.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 07:54
Unibet (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -10.05%E -6.65%K -19.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 07:54
Casumo🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -10.05%E -6.65%K -19.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 07:54
Unibet (NL)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -10.05%E -6.65%K -19.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 07:54
BetRivers🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -10.64%E -7.10%K -21.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 07:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -2.65%E -0.491%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -10.64%E -7.10%K -21.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 07:53
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -4.45%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -7.07%E -4.53%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 12:10
LeoVegas🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -4.45%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.64%E -7.10%K -21.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 07:54
LiveScore Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -4.45%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.64%E -7.10%K -21.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 07:54
Virgin Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -4.45%E -0.840%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -10.64%E -7.10%K -21.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 07:54
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.31%EV -5.35%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.08%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV -0.316%E -0.071%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 06:20
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -5.35%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:50
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -5.35%E -1.02%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 12:49
LowVig.ag🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -6.26%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.37%EV -5.28%E -3.32%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -6.26%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.37%EV -5.28%E -3.32%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 12:49
Marathon Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -6.26%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -7.07%E -4.53%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 12:49
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.26%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 12:01
PMU (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 16.87%EV -6.26%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.92%EV -14.22%E -9.87%K -32.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21%EV -11.52%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-17 07:55
GTbets🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.02%EV -7.16%E -1.39%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.50%EV -7.07%E -4.53%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.48%EV -7.48%E -1.81%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 06:10
1xBet🎯5.11I 19.57%NM 18.35%EV -7.88%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.33%EV -5.88%E -3.72%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 12:49
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -4.09%E -2.54%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 06:35
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.94%EV -5.28%E -3.32%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 12:08
BetUS🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.94%EV -5.28%E -3.32%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 12:10
BetAnything🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.94%EV -5.28%E -3.32%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 12:10
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 06:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -7.07%E -4.53%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 12:49
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 12:09
Everygame🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 12:49
Betr (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -9.45%E -6.22%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 06:35
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.64%E -7.10%K -21.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 12:09
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -9.86%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -16.00%E -4.27%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 12:48
PlayUp🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -12.56%E -2.59%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 12:50
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -13.47%E -2.81%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 12:49
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -13.47%E -2.81%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 12:50
Sky Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -13.47%E -2.81%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 12:09
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -14.37%E -3.02%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 12:50
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -17.07%E -3.71%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 06:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -17.07%E -3.71%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 06:04
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -17.07%E -3.71%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 06:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -17.07%E -3.71%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -8.86%E -5.79%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 06:04
Unibet (FR)🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 18.93%EV -17.97%E -3.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 57.80%EV -11.24%E -7.54%K -22.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.28%EV -17.12%E -4.63%K -6.34%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-18 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 18.35%EV -18.87%E -4.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 57.35%EV -14.22%E -9.87%K -32.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.29%EV -23.84%E -7.01%K -9.93%G +0.000%21.1%2026-04-18 06:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%0.4%2026-04-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%0.4%2026-04-18 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%0.4%2026-04-18 12:50
Matchbook5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%0.4%2026-04-18 12:50