Language:English
Jaro v Ilves Tampere
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jaro (Local)
Prediction 24.85%4.02fair odd
EV +4.63%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +1.44%
Growth +0.067%
assuming max odds 4.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.22%25.00%24.83%28.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.673.604.2129.85%27.24%27.78%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ilves Tampere (Visit)
Prediction 51.43%1.94fair odd
EV +2.85%
Edge +1.43%
Kelly +2.85%
Growth +0.081%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.09%51.19%51.37%53.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.821.802.0058.82%55.01%55.56%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.72%4.22fair odd
EV +0.343%
Edge +0.081%
Kelly +0.106%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.83%23.81%23.80%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.773.804.2328.99%26.53%26.32%23.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaro (Local): 24.85%; Ilves Tampere (Visit): 51.43%; Draw: 23.72%. For Jaro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.63%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.45%EV -16.00%E -4.73%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.09%EV +2.85%E +1.43%K +2.85%G +0.081% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.46%EV -2.74%E -0.668%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 11:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -2.29%E -1.21%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -3.32%E -1.77%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -3.32%E -1.77%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -3.32%E -1.77%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -3.32%E -1.77%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.25%EV -2.58%E -0.657%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.12%EV -4.35%E -2.34%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.63%EV -8.43%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.64%EV -5.38%E -2.92%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.39%EV -1.58%E -0.400%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.78%EV -5.89%E -3.22%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.83%EV +0.343%E +0.081%K +0.106%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.89%E -3.22%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -5.89%E -3.22%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -5.89%E -3.22%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.83%E -0.464%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.41%E -3.52%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.83%E -0.464%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.41%E -3.52%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -6.41%E -3.52%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -16.74%E -5.00%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.29%EV -6.41%E -3.52%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -18.16%E -5.26%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -6.06%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.53%EV -6.92%E -3.82%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -7.01%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.07%E -0.788%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.07%E -0.788%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -2.74%E -0.668%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 13:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 13:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 13:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -3.07%E -0.788%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -8.98%E -5.07%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.98%E -5.07%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.25%EV -8.98%E -5.07%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.22%EV +4.63%E +1.10%K +1.44%G +0.067% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.16%EV -9.49%E -5.39%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.49%E -5.39%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -3.07%E -0.788%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.01%E -5.72%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.01%E -5.72%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.01%E -5.72%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.01%E -5.72%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.01%E -5.72%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -11.03%E -6.38%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -11.03%E -6.38%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.61%EV -11.55%E -6.71%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.52%EV -15.79%E -4.45%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -15.50%E -4.56%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.35%EV -12.58%E -7.40%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.97%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-07-04 13:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |