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Jaro v Ilves Tampere
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Jaro (Хозяева)
Прогноз 24.85%4.02справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.63%
Преимущество +1.10%
Kelly +1.44%
Рост +0.067%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.21
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.22%25.00%24.83%28.45%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.353.673.604.2129.85%27.24%27.78%23.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ilves Tampere (Гости)
Прогноз 51.43%1.94справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.85%
Преимущество +1.43%
Kelly +2.85%
Рост +0.081%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
48.09%51.19%51.37%53.16%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.701.821.802.0058.82%55.01%55.56%50.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 23.72%4.22справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.343%
Преимущество +0.081%
Kelly +0.106%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.23
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.83%23.81%23.80%25.58%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.453.773.804.2328.99%26.53%26.32%23.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Jaro (Хозяева): 24.85%; Ilves Tampere (Гости): 51.43%; Ничья: 23.72%. Для исхода «Jaro (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.02. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.21, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.63%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.45%EV -16.00%E -4.73%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.09%EV +2.85%E +1.43%K +2.85%G +0.081% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.46%EV -2.74%E -0.668%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 11:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -2.29%E -1.21%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -3.32%E -1.77%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -3.32%E -1.77%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -3.32%E -1.77%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -3.32%E -1.77%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.25%EV -2.58%E -0.657%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.12%EV -4.35%E -2.34%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.63%EV -8.43%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.64%EV -5.38%E -2.92%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.39%EV -1.58%E -0.400%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.78%EV -5.89%E -3.22%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.83%EV +0.343%E +0.081%K +0.106%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.89%E -3.22%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -5.89%E -3.22%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -5.89%E -3.22%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.83%E -0.464%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.41%E -3.52%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.83%E -0.464%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.41%E -3.52%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -6.41%E -3.52%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -16.74%E -5.00%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.29%EV -6.41%E -3.52%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -18.16%E -5.26%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -6.06%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.53%EV -6.92%E -3.82%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -7.01%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.07%E -0.788%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.07%E -0.788%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -2.74%E -0.668%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 13:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 13:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 13:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -3.07%E -0.788%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -8.98%E -5.07%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.98%E -5.07%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.25%EV -8.98%E -5.07%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.22%EV +4.63%E +1.10%K +1.44%G +0.067% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.16%EV -9.49%E -5.39%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.49%E -5.39%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -3.07%E -0.788%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.01%E -5.72%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.01%E -5.72%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.01%E -5.72%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.01%E -5.72%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.01%E -5.72%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -11.03%E -6.38%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -11.03%E -6.38%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.61%EV -11.55%E -6.71%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.52%EV -15.79%E -4.45%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -15.50%E -4.56%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.35%EV -12.58%E -7.40%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.97%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-07-04 13:54 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |