La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jaro v Ilves Tampere
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jaro (Local)
Predicción 24.85%4.02momio equitativo
EV +4.63%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +1.44%
Crecimiento +0.067%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.22%25.00%24.83%28.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.673.604.2129.85%27.24%27.78%23.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ilves Tampere (Visitante)
Predicción 51.43%1.94momio equitativo
EV +2.85%
Ventaja +1.43%
Kelly +2.85%
Crecimiento +0.081%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.09%51.19%51.37%53.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.821.802.0058.82%55.01%55.56%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.72%4.22momio equitativo
EV +0.343%
Ventaja +0.081%
Kelly +0.106%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.83%23.81%23.80%25.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.773.804.2328.99%26.53%26.32%23.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.45%EV -16.00%E -4.73%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.09%EV +2.85%E +1.43%K +2.85%G +0.081% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.46%EV -2.74%E -0.668%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 11:10 |
| Unibet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -2.29%E -1.21%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| Casumo | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| TABtouch | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| Grosvenor | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| betPARX | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| BetRivers | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -3.32%E -1.77%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -3.32%E -1.77%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -3.32%E -1.77%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -3.32%E -1.77%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| GTbets | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.25%EV -2.58%E -0.657%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.12%EV -4.35%E -2.34%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.63%EV -8.43%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.64%EV -5.38%E -2.92%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Pinnacle | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.39%EV -1.58%E -0.400%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.78%EV -5.89%E -3.22%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.83%EV +0.343%E +0.081%K +0.106%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| BetMGM | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.89%E -3.22%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -5.89%E -3.22%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Bet Right | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -5.89%E -3.22%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.83%E -0.464%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.41%E -3.52%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Betsson | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.83%E -0.464%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.41%E -3.52%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -6.41%E -3.52%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -16.74%E -5.00%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.29%EV -6.41%E -3.52%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -18.16%E -5.26%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-04 13:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -6.06%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.53%EV -6.92%E -3.82%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -7.01%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.07%E -0.788%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| BetAnything | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.07%E -0.788%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| DraftKings | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -2.74%E -0.668%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Bovada | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 13:54 |
| BetUS | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| LeoVegas | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 13:40 |
| Bet Victor | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| betfred_uk | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Neds | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 13:30 |
| FanDuel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -3.07%E -0.788%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -8.98%E -5.07%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Betway | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.98%E -5.07%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.25%EV -8.98%E -5.07%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| 1xBet | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.22%EV +4.63%E +1.10%K +1.44%G +0.067% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.16%EV -9.49%E -5.39%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| SportsBet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.49%E -5.39%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -3.07%E -0.788%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.01%E -5.72%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| 888sport | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.01%E -5.72%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| William Hill | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.01%E -5.72%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.01%E -5.72%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.01%E -5.72%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -11.03%E -6.38%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Sky Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -11.03%E -6.38%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.61%EV -11.55%E -6.71%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.52%EV -15.79%E -4.45%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-04 13:35 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -15.50%E -4.56%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.35%EV -12.58%E -7.40%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.97%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-07-04 13:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-07-04 13:45 |