L’École des cotes

Jaro v Ilves Tampere

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-04 14:00 UTC

Score final : Jaro 2–1 Ilves Tampere

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jaro (Local)

Prévision 24.85%4.02cote équitable
EV +4.63%
Avantage +1.10%
Kelly +1.44%
Croissance +0.067%

avec la cote maximale 4.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.22%25.00%24.83%28.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.673.604.2129.85%27.24%27.78%23.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ilves Tampere (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.43%1.94cote équitable
EV +2.85%
Avantage +1.43%
Kelly +2.85%
Croissance +0.081%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.09%51.19%51.37%53.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.821.802.0058.82%55.01%55.56%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.72%4.22cote équitable
EV +0.343%
Avantage +0.081%
Kelly +0.106%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.83%23.81%23.80%25.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.773.804.2328.99%26.53%26.32%23.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet3.38I 29.59%NM 28.45%EV -16.00%E -4.73%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.09%EV +2.85%E +1.43%K +2.85%G +0.081%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.46%EV -2.74%E -0.668%K -0.884%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 11:10
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -2.29%E -1.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 13:20
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 13:20
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 13:20
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 13:20
TABtouch3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 13:20
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 13:20
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 13:19
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 13:20
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -2.81%E -1.48%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 13:20
BetRivers3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -3.32%E -1.77%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 13:20
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -3.32%E -1.77%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 13:20
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -3.32%E -1.77%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -3.32%E -1.77%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 13:20
GTbets3.92I 25.51%NM 24.25%EV -2.58%E -0.657%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.12%EV -4.35%E -2.34%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.63%EV -8.43%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 13:55
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.64%EV -5.38%E -2.92%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 13:35
Pinnacle3.96I 25.25%NM 24.39%EV -1.58%E -0.400%K -0.535%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.78%EV -5.89%E -3.22%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.83%EV +0.343%E +0.081%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-04 13:45
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.89%E -3.22%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 13:30
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -5.89%E -3.22%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 13:55
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -5.89%E -3.22%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 13:55
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.83%E -0.464%K -0.621%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.41%E -3.52%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 13:35
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -1.83%E -0.464%K -0.621%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.41%E -3.52%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 13:35
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -6.41%E -3.52%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-04 13:55
PMU (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -16.74%E -5.00%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.29%EV -6.41%E -3.52%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -18.16%E -5.26%K -7.41%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-04 13:20
Marathon Bet3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -6.06%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.53%EV -6.92%E -3.82%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -7.01%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 13:40
LowVig.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.07%E -0.788%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 13:35
BetAnything3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.07%E -0.788%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 13:35
DraftKings3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -2.74%E -0.668%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 13:35
Bovada3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 13:54
BetUS3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.30%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 13:55
LeoVegas3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 13:40
Bet Victor3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 13:55
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-04 13:55
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 13:35
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.43%E -4.13%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.23%E -3.31%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 13:30
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -3.07%E -0.788%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -8.98%E -5.07%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 13:35
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.98%E -5.07%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -5.11%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 13:35
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.25%EV -8.98%E -5.07%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -14.60%E -4.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 13:35
1xBet4.21I 23.75%NM 22.22%EV +4.63%E +1.10%K +1.44%G +0.067%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.16%EV -9.49%E -5.39%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 13:55
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -9.49%E -5.39%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 13:35
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -3.07%E -0.788%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.01%E -5.72%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.49%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 13:35
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.01%E -5.72%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-04 13:55
William Hill3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.01%E -5.72%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-04 13:55
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.01%E -5.72%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-04 13:55
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -10.01%E -5.72%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-04 13:55
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -11.03%E -6.38%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-04 13:35
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -11.03%E -6.38%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -11.04%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-04 13:35
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -13.01%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.61%EV -11.55%E -6.71%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.52%EV -15.79%E -4.45%K -6.19%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-04 13:35
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -15.50%E -4.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.35%EV -12.58%E -7.40%K -17.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.97%EV -9.86%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-04 13:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-07-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-07-04 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-07-04 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-07-04 13:45